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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Top 14: Toulon vs Toulouse

Name: Top 14: Toulon vs Toulouse
End: 2026-05-16T15:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$18.30

Events

Markets

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Top 14: Toulon vs Toulouse

Vol

$18.30

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $18.30

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $18.30

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

3 markets tracked

Will Toulouse win?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(3)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Toulouse win?	Poly	49%
Will Toulon win?	Poly	37%
Will the match end in a draw?	Poly	35%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

49%

Top Probability

$18.30

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This event is for the upcoming Top 14 match between Toulon and Toulouse, scheduled for May 9 2026.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Top 14: Toulon vs Toulouse
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 16, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This event is for the upcoming Top 14 match between Toulon and Toulouse, scheduled for May 9 2026.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 9 2026
If Toulon wins, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.
If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $18
* **Total Liquidity:** $277
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.07)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Toulon win?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the match end in a draw?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $18
  DATA: [Yes: 34.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 65.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Toulouse win?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 16, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Top 14: Toulon vs Toulouse

This event is for the upcoming Top 14 match between Toulon and Toulouse, scheduled for May 9 2026.

Volume$18.30

Markets3

3 of 3

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Will Toulouse win?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 48.5¢No 51.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Toulouse win?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 9 2026 If Toulouse wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this mark

POLYMARKET

Will Toulon win?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will Toulon win?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 9 2026 If Toulon wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market

POLYMARKET

Will the match end in a draw?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 34.9¢No 65.1¢

POLYMARKETSports

Will the match end in a draw?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 9 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game,

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

40¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/JbjG8r" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Top 14: Toulon vs Toulouse"></iframe>

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Top 14: Toulon vs Toulouse

Top 14: Toulon vs Toulouse

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Will Toulouse win?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Top 14: Toulon vs Toulouse

Markets (3)

Will Toulouse win?

Will Toulouse win?

Will Toulon win?

Will Toulon win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

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Discussion

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will Toulouse win?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Top 14: Toulon vs Toulouse

Will Toulouse win?

Will Toulouse win?

Will Toulon win?

Will Toulon win?

Will the match end in a draw?

Will the match end in a draw?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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