Name: Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
End: 2026-04-18T19:00:00.000Z

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Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | PredictPedia

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Polymarket

markets · $15.06K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $15.06K

100%

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36 markets tracked

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

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Single-Platform Markets(36)

Market	Platform	Price
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage	Poly	80%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner	Poly	74%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner	Poly	72%
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	52%
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	52%
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	52%
Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)	Poly	52%
First Blood in Game 1?	Poly	51%
First Blood in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?	Poly	51%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	40%
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	33%
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	33%
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	33%
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	30%
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	30%
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	29%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	28%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	28%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	28%
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	28%
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	16%
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	16%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

80%

Top Probability

$15.06K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between PARIVISION and MOUZ in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. I

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, April 18, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 18, 2026 (1 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Critical

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between PARIVISION and MOUZ in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against MOUZ.

This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win the match against PARIVISION.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. 

I

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 1 match between PARIVISION and MOUZ in the PGL Wallachia Group Stage, initially scheduled for April 18 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION wins 2 or more games than MOUZ in this match.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to ""

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $15.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $300.8K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $3.4K
  DATA: [PARIVISION: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [MOUZ: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $2.9K
  DATA: [PARIVISION: 73.5% (0.0%)] | [MOUZ: 26.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [PARIVISION: 71.5% (0.0%)] | [MOUZ: 28.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $30
  DATA: [Over: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.0% (0.0%)]

### 20. Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $8.7K
  DATA: [PARIVISION: 79.5% (0.0%)] | [MOUZ: 20.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 22. First Blood in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [PARIVISION: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [MOUZ: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 24. Total Kills Over/Under 48.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 25. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 27. Total Kills Over/Under 49.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Total Kills Over/Under 47.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 30. Total Kills Over/Under 51.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. First Blood in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [PARIVISION: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [MOUZ: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 34. Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

### 36. Total Kills Over/Under 46.5 in Game 1?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 18, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [Under: 49.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Volume$15.06K

Markets36

36 of 36

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POLYMARKET

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

This market is about whether Game 1 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). T

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

This market is about whether Game 2 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). T

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.0¢No 48.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

This market is about whether Game 3 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). T

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 32.5¢No 67.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 1. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items. This market will resolve to "Yes

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 32.5¢No 67.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 2. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items. This market will resolve to "Yes

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45¢

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Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

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Events (1)

Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Markets (36)

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

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Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

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Dota 2: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

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