Cibona vs. Krka
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
In the upcoming ABA League game, scheduled for October 26 at 1:00PM ET: If the Cibona win, the market will resolve to "Cibona". If the Krka win, the market will resolve to "Krka". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Polymarket event asks which team wins a game in the ABA League, with the game described as "scheduled for October 26 at 1:00PM ET" [1]. The rules state that "If the Cibona win, the market will resolve to "Cibona"." and "If the Krka win, the market will resolve to "Krka"." [1]
The rules also cover two edge cases. If the game is postponed, "this market will remain open until the game has been completed." If it is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market "will resolve 50-50." [1] The result is "determined based on the final score including any overtime periods." [1]
The listed end time is 2026-11-02T17:00:00.000Z [1]. This is the provider's listed close time, not a confirmed game date or resolution date. The rules do not say the game has been played, and the supplied evidence contains no result.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-21T13:21:47.559Z [1]. The prices below describe that observation only. They are not live quotes, and the evidence does not show whether they are executable.
The saved market lists two outcomes, Cibona at 0.5 and Krka at 0.5 [1]. Read as snapshot prices, these are equal, meaning the observed market did not favor either team at that time. Prices are not verified probabilities, and the evidence does not explain them.
The sample covers one saved market for this event, with no omitted markets recorded [1]. Volume data is not included here, so it cannot indicate liquidity or the number of participants.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not report the game result, any postponement or cancellation, or any change to the schedule after the observation. Since the market has not been shown to resolve, the snapshot cannot indicate the eventual outcome.
Because this comparison involves one contract on one platform, it does not support comparisons with other platforms' prices. Differences in wording, close times, or rules on other venues would need their own sources before any comparison.
References
- Polymarket: Cibona vs. Krka. Provider data observed 2026-10-21T12:00:06.317Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 21, 2026 UTCOverview
This market is a Polymarket contract on a scheduled match in the ABA League, the top-tier regional men's professional basketball league [2]. The two outcomes are Cibona and Krka, and the contract asks which team wins the game [1]. The provider's rules state that the game is scheduled for October 26 at 1:00PM ET [1]. That date comes from the contract's description of the game and is not confirmed by any other source here. The contract resolves to the winning team based on the final score, including any overtime periods [1]. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game has been completed [1]. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. The saved snapshot shows both outcomes at 0.5, observed at 2026-10-21T12:00:06Z [1]. A snapshot records what the provider showed at that moment. It is not an executable quote, a verified probability, or a current price. The market's listed end time is 2026-11-02T17:00:00Z [1], which is the provider's listed end time and not a record of when the game was played or the market closed.
Historical Context
The ABA League was renamed the ABA League First Division in 2017, and it originally featured clubs from former Yugoslavia [2]. For sponsorship reasons, the league was also known as the Goodyear League from 2001 to 2006, the NLB League from 2006 to 2011, and the AdmiralBet ABA League from 2021 [2]. The supplied background does not describe the history of Cibona or Krka, or the earlier results between them.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which of the two named teams wins a single scheduled ABA League game [1]. Its resolution rules are specific: overtime counts toward the final score [1], postponement keeps the market open until completion [1], and cancellation without a make-up game resolves the market 50-50 [1]. Those rules, rather than the snapshot price, determine how the contract settles.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-21 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Does overtime count toward the result?
Yes. The result is determined by the final score, including any overtime periods [1].
What happens if the game is postponed?
The market remains open until the game has been completed [1].
What happens if the game is canceled?
If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. A make-up game would change this outcome, so the rules depend on whether one is played.
Does the current price show who is likely to win?
The price is a saved snapshot from the provider at the observed time, showing 0.5 for each team [1]. It is not an executable quote or a verified probability, so it does not establish which team is more likely to win.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
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