Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied event covers the second half of the Wisla Plock vs. KKS Lech Poznan match in the Poland Ekstraklasa. The match was scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET [1]. Each market asks about a different second-half outcome: a Wisla Plock win, a draw, or a KKS Lech Poznan win [1]. The rules count only regular play plus second-half stoppage time and exclude first-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs [1]. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game is completed. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "Draw" [1].

The titles differ in wording. The markets are "Wisla Plock to win the second half?", "Wisla Plock vs. KKS Lech Poznan: Second half draw?", and "KKS Lech Poznan to win the second half?" [1]. Each has its own Yes and No outcomes, so they are three separate binary contracts, not one outcome list.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T02:53:09.328Z [1]. The listed end time is 2026-08-15T14:00:00.000Z, which is earlier than the observation date. The saved status is "active," so the saved data does not show a final result or resolution [1]. This snapshot should not be read as a current price for a match still to be played.

In this snapshot, all three markets show Yes at 0.5 and No at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Because the prices are equal, the snapshot does not indicate a leading outcome. The supplied data does not include volume in a form that shows liquidity, and it contains no trader counts.

All three saved markets for this event are included, and the sample is not marked as partial [1]. The sample warning still applies: it does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome [1]. The three Yes prices should not be combined or compared with prices from other events.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why the prices are at 0.5, what happened in the match, or whether the markets have resolved. Resolution relies on official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those are not published within 24 hours after the event, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead [1]. No final statistics or result appear in the supplied evidence.

References

1. Polymarket: Wisla Plock vs. KKS Lech Poznan - Second Half Result. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z.