Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Source snapshot: Nov 2, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T21:00:06.061Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket event titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET" [1]. Its rules say the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-11-02T13:00:00.000Z [1]. The contract therefore depends on a Chainlink TWAP over a stated window, not on a general price target or a spot quote from another venue.
Reading the snapshot
The saved provider observation was taken at 2026-11-01T21:00:06.061Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-11-02T00:00:05.703Z [1]. These are different times, and the observation is the price basis. The snapshot shows Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are prices from that observation only. They are not executable quotes, not verified probabilities, and not a current reading. This evidence does not show prices at any later time.
Because the two outcomes are the only saved outcomes for this binary contract, the prices sum to 1.00. The snapshot shows a narrow gap between them. It does not show why the gap exists, and it does not show how many traders hold either position. The record includes no volume or liquidity figures to interpret.
The sample covers one market from one provider event, and it is not partial: all saved markets for this event are included [1]. The record also states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Since no other platform or event is included, the snapshot should not be compared with prices for other assets, windows, or platforms.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the actual resolution, the TWAP values, or the beginning-of-window price, so the outcome cannot be determined from this record. Any reader should check the Chainlink stream directly for the resolved result. The snapshot also cannot show whether prices changed between the observation time and the listed end time.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T21:00:06.061Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 2, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a short-window price question about Hyperliquid, a crypto asset. The market is titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - November 2, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET" and is listed on Polymarket [1]. It covers one 15-minute window, from 7:45 AM to 8:00 AM Eastern Time on November 2. The provider's listed end time for the market is 2026-11-02T13:00:00.000Z [1]. The contract's outcome depends on a comparison within that window. According to the provider's rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of HYPE/USD over the window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of the window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules make the time-weighted average, rather than a single spot print, the value being compared. The rules also specify where the price comes from. The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream and not prices from other sources or spot markets [1]. At the observation time recorded for this record, the provider listed the market as active, with the Up outcome at 0.505 and the Down outcome at 0.495 [1]. These figures are a snapshot from one moment. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they do not show how the market will settle.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average price of HYPE/USD in one specific Chainlink data stream during a 15-minute window ends at or above the price at the window's start [1]. Because the comparison uses a time-weighted average, the result reflects the average level across the window relative to the opening level, not only the price at the final moment. Because the provider names one data stream as the source, the contract tracks that stream's values and not prices on other exchanges or spot markets [1]. Readers should therefore read the contract's wording closely, since a move on another venue would not by itself decide the outcome [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does an "Up" outcome mean for this contract?
According to the provider's rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Hyperliquid over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window [1].
What does a "Down" outcome mean?
The provider's rules say that if the window's time-weighted average price is not greater than or equal to the starting price, the market resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price data determines the result?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available through the provider's listed stream page [1]. The rules say prices from other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
What time window does this contract cover?
The title identifies the window as 7:45 AM to 8:00 AM Eastern Time on November 2, and the provider lists an end time of 2026-11-02T13:00:00.000Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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