Golden State vs Phoenix: Threes
K 24.2K contracts
1
34
Golden State vs Phoenix: Threes
K 24.2K contracts
1
34
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 25, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Yaxel Lendeborg: 3+ at 99.5%.
Kalshi
- Yaxel Lendeborg: 3+99.5%
- Yaxel Lendeborg: 2+99.5%
- Miles Bridges: 1+99.5%
- Jalen Green: 1+76%
- Devin Booker: 1+69%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 24.2K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
34
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 25, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
GSW vs PHX (Oct 24) If De'Anthony Melton records X made three-pointers in the Golden State vs Phoenix Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Note: If a player is inactive, or active but never takes the court, the market settles to a fair price. Once a player enters the game the market settles based on the player's made three-pointers recorded. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T03:00:06.023Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Kalshi event covers the Golden State vs Phoenix game originally scheduled for Oct 24, 2026 [1]. Each market asks whether a named player records a stated number of made three-pointers. For example, the rules say that if De'Anthony Melton records X made three-pointers, "then the market resolves to Yes" [1].
The rules also address several edge cases. If a player is inactive, or active but never takes the court, "the market settles to a fair price" [1]. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market stays open and resolves on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price [1].
The provider lists its end time as "not supplied," while the market records show an end date of 2026-10-27T02:00:00.000Z [1]. That date is a listed closing field in the data, not an announced event date or confirmation of when resolution will occur.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-25T03:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-25T05:02:20Z [1]. These prices describe that earlier observation and may not match current conditions.
In the included sample, quoted Yes prices range from 0.995 to 0.46 [1]. Yaxel Lendeborg's 2+ and 3+ threes markets and Miles Bridges's 1+ threes market each show a Yes price of 0.995. Jalen Green's 1+ threes market shows 0.76, Devin Booker's 1+ threes shows 0.69, and Lendeborg's 5+ threes shows 0.50 [1].
Different thresholds and different players are separate contracts with different wording. Their prices should not be combined or ranked as one measure. A price difference between contracts is not an arbitrage opportunity by itself. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The supplied data does not include volume, so it cannot show liquidity or how many traders are involved.
What remains uncertain
The sample is partial. It includes 12 of 34 markets in this Kalshi event [1]. The omitted markets are not shown, so their prices should not be inferred from the included ones. The sample is ordered by Yes price, so it is not a complete field.
Only one provider is in the evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. The supplied material also does not state the game's final result, whether any listed player entered the game, or whether any market has resolved.
References
- Kalshi: Golden State vs Phoenix: Threes. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T03:00:06.023Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 25, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a set of player prop contracts tied to the Golden State vs Phoenix basketball game that was originally scheduled for October 24, 2026. The contract titled "De'Anthony Melton" in the rules asks whether Melton records a specified number of made three-pointers in that game. If he records at least the stated number, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The saved event also includes thresholds such as 1+, 2+, 3+, 4+ and 5+ threes for several other players, which are listed as separate markets in the same event. The rules describe how the markets settle in edge cases. If a player is inactive, or is active but never takes the court, the market settles to a fair price. If a player enters the game, the market settles on the made three-pointers recorded for that player [1]. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price [1]. The provider states that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The market snapshot used here was observed on October 25, 2026 at 03:00 UTC and retrieved shortly after. It shows the event as active in that snapshot. In that snapshot, the Yes price for Melton's 1+ threes contract was 0.635 and the No price was 0.365. Prices like these are snapshots from a specific moment. They are not executable quotes and not verified probabilities. Volume and trading activity are also not the same as liquidity or the number of traders. The sample includes 12 of 34 markets in this provider event, selected by highest Yes price, so it does not show the full set of contracts. The contract rules state that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing league [1]. Because the contracts are separate markets on the same game, differences in their prices do not by themselves indicate an arbitrage opportunity.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a named player records a stated number of made three-pointers in one specific game, as defined by the Kalshi rules [1]. Each threshold, such as 1+ or 3+, is a separate contract with its own snapshot price. The rules also define outcomes for postponement, cancellation and player inactivity, which affect how a market resolves [1]. The provider lists an end date field in the saved data, but the rules do not describe that field as an announced event date, and the snapshot does not confirm the game's final result.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-25 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome require for the Melton contract?
The contract resolves to Yes if De'Anthony Melton records the stated number of made three-pointers in the Golden State vs Phoenix game originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 [1].
What happens if the game is postponed?
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result. If it is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price [1].
What happens if a player does not play?
If a player is inactive, or is active but never takes the court, the market settles to a fair price. Once a player enters the game, the market settles based on the made three-pointers recorded for that player [1].
Is this market affiliated with the league?
The rules state that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing league [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
