Solana Up or Down - October 22, 10AM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 22, 10AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/SOL_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract covers a single event, "Solana Up or Down - October 22, 10AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The named resolution source is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT pair, and the source states that "this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1]. Any comparison with a contract on another venue or pair needs this wording checked first.
The listed end time is 2026-10-22T15:00:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's closing time, not a confirmed resolution. The evidence does not show a final resolution, so none is reported here.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z and retrieved at 2026-10-22T02:56:20.276Z [1]. At observation, the quoted prices were 0.505 for "Up" and 0.495 for "Down" [1]. These are snapshot prices from one provider record. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. Coverage shows one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. Because only one contract is included, there is no other outcome in this saved set to compare against. The evidence does not include volume, order book depth, or trader counts, so this snapshot cannot be used to judge liquidity or how many participants hold a view.
What remains uncertain
The snapshot reflects conditions at its observation time. It does not show current prices, and the status "active" was recorded at retrieval [1]. The evidence does not explain why the prices were at these levels, and this summary does not infer a cause. Contracts on other platforms, other time windows, or other pairs should not be treated as directly comparable, and a price difference alone does not indicate an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 22, 10AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 22, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term price contract on Solana, listed on Polymarket under the title "Solana Up or Down - October 22, 10AM ET" [1]. It is a crypto market that asks whether the price of SOL will rise or fall over one specific hour. The contract's rules define the outcome by comparing two prices from a single one-hour candle on Binance's SOL/USDT trading pair [1]. The rules say the market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time and date in the title. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The outcome therefore depends only on whether that candle closes at or above its opening level, not on how far the price moves. The resolution source is Binance, and the rules specify the SOL/USDT pair [1]. The rules also state that the market concerns the price on Binance SOL/USDT and not the price on other exchanges or trading pairs [1]. A market for the same hour on a different venue could therefore produce a different result, even if the broader market moved similarly. The contract's listed end time is 2026-10-22T15:00:00.000Z, and the provider lists the market as active in the saved record [1]. The rules say the open and close shown at the top of the graph for the relevant 1H candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized [1]. Resolution therefore waits for that finalized candle data rather than an earlier intra-hour price.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow directional question: whether the Binance SOL/USDT one-hour candle beginning at the stated time closes at or above its open [1]. Because the rule uses a single candle and a single trading pair, the contract reflects that specific venue and time window rather than a general view of Solana's value. Traders and readers who look at its price should keep those rule details in mind, since the contract does not settle on a broader or differently sourced price measure [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-22 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What price determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The market compares the close and open prices of the SOL/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time and date in the title. If the close is greater than or equal to the open, it resolves Up. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which exchange's prices are used for resolution?
Binance is the resolution source, specifically the SOL/USDT pair. The rules state that prices on other exchanges or trading pairs are not used [1].
When are the close and open prices read for resolution?
The open and close displayed for the relevant 1H candle are used once the data for that candle is finalized [1].
What is the listed end time for this contract?
The provider lists the end time as 2026-10-22T15:00:00.000Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
