M25 Norman, OK: Charlie Robertson vs Henry Lieberman
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M25 Norman, OK: Charlie Robertson vs Henry Lieberman
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the tennis match between Charlie Robertson and Henry Lieberman in the M25 Norman, OK, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:01PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Charlie Robertson' if Charlie Robertson advances against Henry Lieberman. This market will resolve to 'Henry Lieberman' if Henry Lieberman advances against Charlie Robertson. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T00:00:05.999Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Polymarket event covers a tennis match between Charlie Robertson and Henry Lieberman in the M25 Norman, OK Qualifying, which was "originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:01PM ET" [1]. The main market resolves to the player who advances. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, is a walkover, or has no determined winner by "November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start)," it resolves to 50-50 [1]. A retirement, default, or disqualification after the match begins resolves to the player who advances [1].
The source names the primary resolution source as "official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF)," with "A consensus of credible reporting" possibly used as well [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-02T21:01:19.472Z [1]. That is a provider end time, separate from the November 9 fallback deadline in the rules, so readers should check both.
Reading the snapshot
The sample includes three Polymarket markets from one event: the match winner market and two set handicap markets, one for each player at -1.5 [1]. Coverage shows 3 of 3 markets included and no partial sample [1]. The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-27T00:00:05.999Z, and the saved source was retrieved at 2026-10-27T02:35:57.017Z [1].
Each listed outcome is priced at 0.5 in this snapshot [1]. These are observed snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Because all three markets show equal prices, the snapshot does not show which player the market favored at that time. The two handicap markets have different titles and different outcome framing, so they should be read as separate contracts, not as a comparison that reveals an opportunity.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show whether the match was played, its result, or any later price movement. It also does not include volume, trader counts, or reasons for the observed prices. Because only one platform and one event are supplied, no cross-platform comparison is possible. The sample description states that the saved markets do not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. The snapshot is a point-in-time record, and it should not be read as a current price.
References
- Polymarket: M25 Norman, OK: Charlie Robertson vs Henry Lieberman. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T00:00:05.999Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket market tied to a tennis match in the M25 Norman, OK, Qualifying event between Charlie Robertson and Henry Lieberman. The match was listed as originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 5:01 PM ET [1]. The market's main contract asks which player advances from the match. The source states that it resolves to 'Charlie Robertson' if Charlie Robertson advances against Henry Lieberman, and to 'Henry Lieberman' if Henry Lieberman advances [1]. The resolution rules include several special cases. If the match is canceled without being played, ends in a tie, or has no determined winner by November 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the contract resolves 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retired, defaulted, or was disqualified, the contract resolves to the player who advances [1]. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50 [1]. The source names the International Tennis Federation (ITF) as the primary resolution source, using its official information. It says that a consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1]. The listed end time for the contract is November 2, 2026 at 21:01 UTC, and the provider status is recorded as active [1]. The saved event contains three markets. One is the match winner contract. The other two are set handicap contracts, labeled Charlie Robertson (-1.5) versus Henry Lieberman (+1.5) and Henry Lieberman (-1.5) versus Charlie Robertson (+1.5) [1]. All three markets from this saved event are included in the sample. The sample is not a claim about every possible outcome for the match. In the saved snapshot, each listed outcome was priced at 0.5 [1]. A price like this is a snapshot of a market, not an executable quote or a verified probability of either player advancing.
Why It Matters
The contract measures which named player advances from one scheduled tennis match, according to the rules stated by the provider [1]. Its wording gives the resolution path for ordinary wins as well as for retirements, defaults, disqualifications, cancellations, ties, and walkovers [1]. Because the official ITF information is the primary resolution source, the contract's outcome depends on how that match is recorded under these rules [1]. The contract also includes set handicap markets for the same match, which are listed separately in the saved event [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
Who does the contract resolve to if the match is played normally?
The contract resolves to the player who advances. It resolves to Charlie Robertson if he advances against Henry Lieberman, and to Henry Lieberman if he advances against Charlie Robertson [1].
What happens if the match is canceled or not decided in time?
If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or has no determined winner by November 9, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, the contract resolves 50-50 [1].
What is the primary source used for resolution?
The primary resolution source is official information from the International Tennis Federation. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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