ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a binary market on the ZCash price over a five-minute window. The market title is "ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET" [1]. According to the rules excerpt, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is specific. The rules name the "ZEC/USD TWAP data stream" from Chainlink and state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A comparison with a different ZCash price feed, exchange, or pair could therefore point to a different outcome.
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T01:25:00.000Z [1]. The rules describe a window in the title, but the excerpt does not establish when the final resolution will be published.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z and retrieved by PredictPedia at 2026-10-27T06:57:46.450Z [1]. That is the time the prices describe. The current time is not the same as the observation time, and the prices may have changed since then.
The sample contains one market with two outcomes. The Up contract is priced at 0.5 and the Down contract at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence does not include order book depth, spreads, or trade volume, so it cannot show how easily either side could be bought or sold.
Because both outcomes are quoted at the same price in this snapshot, the reading is simply that the saved quotes were level at observation. The evidence does not explain this, and it does not indicate what traders expect.
What remains uncertain
The sample is complete for this provider event. The coverage record reports one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The sample warning still notes that the providers may not list every possible real-world outcome, so the sample should not be read as a full field of outcomes for ZCash prices.
The evidence contains no other platforms, no later snapshots, and no information about the reason for the quoted prices. Any comparison with a differently worded ZCash contract would need to account for the different resolution source, window, and end time.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T06:00:05.981Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term price contract on ZCash, listed on Polymarket under the title "ZCash Up or Down - October 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET" [1]. It belongs to the crypto category and asks whether the asset's price will rise or fall over a five-minute window stated in the title [1]. The rules define the outcome by comparing two values. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. Because the comparison uses an average over the window rather than a single trade, a brief spike at the start or end does not on its own decide the result. The resolution source is Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream that the rules link to [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not any other source or spot market [1]. Anyone reading a price elsewhere should check it against this specific feed, since other venues may show different figures. The listing in the saved record shows an end time of 2026-10-28T01:25:00 UTC and an active provider status at the time it was observed [1]. That end time is a contract closing parameter from the rules. It is not an announcement of any other event, and the record does not show how the window was ultimately settled. The saved listing shows two outcomes, "Up" and "Down", each with a price of 0.5 [1]. Read this as a snapshot of the listing at the time it was recorded, not an executable quote or a verified probability of either outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the ZEC/USD price, as averaged over a fixed five-minute window by the Chainlink TWAP stream, finishes at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. It is a narrow question about a short interval, and its outcome depends entirely on the Chainlink feed named in the rules rather than on broader market conditions or other exchanges [1]. Traders reading the contract should therefore focus on how that specific feed moves, and on the exact time range in the title.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as an "Up" resolution?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
What happens if the average is below the starting price?
The contract resolves to "Down" in that case, because the rules say it resolves to "Down" whenever the "Up" condition is not met [1].
Which price data determines the result?
The rules name the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source and state that other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
Does the 0.5 price mean each outcome has a 50 percent chance?
No. The saved listing shows prices of 0.5 for both outcomes at the time it was recorded [1], but these are snapshots rather than executable quotes or verified probabilities.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.