Thun vs Hajduk: Total Goals
K 0 contracts
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Thun vs Hajduk: Total Goals
K 0 contracts
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6
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
6
Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
THU vs HAJ (Oct 22) If over X goals are scored in the Thun vs Hajduk professional Conference League soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The six markets come from one Kalshi event, "Thun vs Hajduk: Total Goals," for a Conference League match described as "originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026" [1]. Each contract asks whether a goal threshold will be exceeded. Under the stated rules, the market resolves to Yes if "over X goals are scored" after "90 minutes plus stoppage time," and the rules state that the count "does not include extra time or penalties" [1]. The source also says the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved sample includes six contracts with thresholds of over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 and 5.5 goals. At the observation time of 2026-10-17 06:00 UTC, each showed a Yes price of 0.5 and a No price of 0.5 [1]. The source was retrieved at 07:03 UTC the same day [1]. These are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Because each threshold is a separate contract, identical prices across them should not be read as a forecast about the total number of goals. The sample is complete for this event: all six saved markets are included and no partial sample is flagged [1]. That does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed.
All six contracts show the same listed end date of 2026-10-24 19:00 UTC [1]. The source's own listed end time, however, reads "not supplied" [1]. The end date is therefore a contract field, not a confirmed match date or resolution time. Volume and trader counts were not supplied, so this sample says nothing about liquidity or participation.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the match result, any explanation for the quoted prices, or any information after the snapshot. The provider status was "active" at retrieval [1], but the current status is unknown. The "originally scheduled" wording does not confirm that the match was played on that date. The source also states that Kalshi is "not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League" [1]. No prices from other platforms are supplied, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.
References
- Kalshi: Thun vs Hajduk: Total Goals. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T06:00:06.025Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This Kalshi market concerns the total number of goals scored in a Conference League soccer match between Thun and Hajduk Split, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 [1]. Each market asks whether the total will be over a particular threshold. The contract measures goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootouts are not counted, so a match decided on penalties still counts only the goals scored in regulation time [1]. The saved event lists six thresholds: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 and 5.5 goals. Each one has a Yes outcome and a No outcome [1]. The market resolves to Yes if the number of goals exceeds the threshold under these rules. The provider states that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The saved provider status is active, but the provider did not supply a listed end time [1]. The saved market records show an end date of October 24, 2026, but that is a date in the saved records, not an announced kickoff or match date. The Conference League context comes from general tournament information. The 2026-27 UEFA Conference League league phase is described as beginning on October 15, 2026 and ending on December 17, 2026, with 36 teams competing for 24 knockout places [2]. These dates describe the tournament structure as recorded by Wikipedia. They do not confirm the status of this particular fixture, and a Wikipedia retrieval does not verify current events. The Hajduk Split background comes from the club's 2026-27 season article. It describes the season as the club's 116th and its 36th consecutive season in the Croatian top flight, and says the club is also taking part in the Croatian Cup, the UEFA Europa League and the UEFA Conference League [3].
Historical Context
The supplied sources describe Hajduk Split's long top-flight run. The 2026-27 season article states that it is the club's 116th season in existence and its 36th consecutive season in the top flight of Croatian football [3]. The sources do not provide earlier history of the Thun and Hajduk rivalry, previous meetings between the two clubs, or past goal totals.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single number: how many goals are scored in regulation time in one scheduled match [1]. Because the markets are split by threshold, each one answers a narrower question about the total. The over 0.5 market asks whether at least one goal is scored, while the over 5.5 market asks whether the total is above five and a half. Traders reading these markets need to understand that extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded [1], since a match that goes to a shootout can have a different final result than its regulation-time goal total. The saved snapshot lists every market for this event, with all six thresholds included and no partial sample flagged [1]. The Yes and No prices shown are 0.5 for each threshold [1]. These are snapshot values at the observation time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the sources do not explain how the prices were formed.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Thun vs Hajduk total goals contract measure?
It measures the number of goals scored in the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are not included [1]. Each threshold market resolves to Yes if the goal total is over that number [1].
Are goals scored in extra time or a penalty shootout counted?
No. The contract rules state that the count covers play after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and does not include extra time or penalties [1].
Which thresholds are covered by this event?
The saved event includes markets for over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5 and 5.5 goals, with all six markets included in the sample [1].
When does the market close?
The provider says the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The provider did not supply a listed end time for the event [1]. The saved market records show an end date of October 24, 2026, which is a stored date rather than a confirmed match date.
Does the Conference League schedule confirm when this match will be played?
No. The tournament article gives dates for the league phase as a whole, from October 15, 2026 to December 17, 2026 [2]. It does not confirm the timing of this specific fixture, and the sources do not establish whether the match has been rescheduled.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
