Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
PM $0
1
1
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract covers the Solana "Up or Down" window titled "Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET" [1]. According to the source excerpt, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The rules specify the data source as the SOL/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and state that the market is "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with another Solana market should check whether that market uses the same data stream, window, and comparison rule, since small wording differences can change what is being priced. The listed end time is 2026-10-31T22:05:00.000Z [1].
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-31T18:00:04.673Z [1]. These are different times, and the observation time is the one that matters for the prices. The prices below describe that earlier observation and should not be read as the current market.
The saved prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence does not include trade volume, liquidity, or the number of traders, so it does not show how deep either side of the market was.
The saved sample contains one market from Polymarket, and the coverage record reports that it was not a partial sample [1]. Because this is a two-outcome contract, the listed Up and Down prices are the only outcomes in the saved record. The evidence does not explain why the prices sit near the midpoint.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices were where they were at the observation time. It also does not show any price movement after that observation, or how the market will behave before the listed end time.
The sample warning states that the saved markets "do not establish" a complete list of real-world outcomes [1]. For this contract, the question is simply whether the TWAP ends at or above the starting price, but the evidence does not cover other markets with similar titles.
Finally, the evidence does not say how the final outcome will be determined beyond the stated TWAP rule, and it does not report any resolution. Readers should check the official rules and resolution data before drawing conclusions.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-window price contract on Solana's price in US dollars, listed on Polymarket under the title "Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET" [1]. The contract covers a five-minute window from 6:00PM to 6:05PM ET on October 31. It is in the crypto category and is a single market with two outcomes, "Up" and "Down" [1]. The rules tie the outcome to a time-weighted average price (TWAP) rather than a single trade. The market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. Because the comparison uses greater than or equal to, a window that ends exactly level with its starting price resolves to "Up" [1]. The resolution source is the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream, with a 60-second TWAP configuration [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the Chainlink TWAP data stream for SOL/USD and not other sources or spot markets [1]. A price shown on a particular exchange therefore does not settle this contract. The saved source lists an end time of 2026-10-31T22:05:00.000Z [1]. The source was observed at 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z and retrieved at 2026-10-31T18:00:04.714Z, and it showed the provider status as active at that retrieval [1]. The saved record does not contain a resolution outcome, so it cannot show how the contract settled.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP for the stated five-minute window finishes at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the outcome depends on an average over the window rather than one moment, the result reflects the stream's averaged price path during those minutes, as defined by the provider's rules [1]. Traders and observers can use the market's prices as a snapshot of how participants were pricing the two outcomes, but a snapshot is not an executable quote or a verified probability.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the contract resolve to "Up"?
It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which data source decides the outcome?
The resolution source is the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream, which the rules identify by a specific data stream address [1].
Do prices on exchanges or other spot markets affect the result?
No. The rules state the market is about the Chainlink TWAP data stream for SOL/USD and not any other sources or spot markets [1].
When does this market's listed window end?
The saved source lists an end time of 2026-10-31T22:05:00.000Z [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
PM $0Solana Up or Down - October 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.