CD Cieza vs. Granada CF - First Team to Score
PM $0
1
3
CD Cieza vs. Granada CF - First Team to Score
PM $0
1
3
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
About This Event
In the upcoming match between CD Cieza and Granada CF, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Cieza" if CD Cieza are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Granada CF" if Granada CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved Polymarket event asks which team will score first in the match between CD Cieza and Granada CF, which the contract text describes as "scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET" [1]. The three markets are not identical. One resolves "Yes" if neither team scores first, and two resolve "Yes" if a specific team does [1]. The rules count only the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, and extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1].
The rules also set edge cases. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the match is completed. If the game is canceled with no make-up game, it resolves to "Neither" [1]. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-28T19:30:00.000Z [1], which is a platform field and should not be read as the match kickoff itself.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-16T05:18:29.143Z [1]. These prices describe that observation only and may not reflect current trading.
The observed Yes prices were 0.50 for "Neither team to score first?", 0.49 for "CD Cieza to score first", and 0.49 for "Granada CF to score first" [1]. Each contract has its own Yes and No prices, so these values should not be averaged or combined into a single probability. The three Yes prices sum to 1.48, which shows they are separate binary contracts rather than a set of mutually exclusive outcome prices that should total one. This difference is not evidence of an arbitrage opportunity, because the snapshot is not an executable quote and the contracts are worded differently.
The sample includes all three saved markets for this event, and the coverage record marks it as not partial [1]. However, the sample warning states that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1].
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why any price is at its observed level, and it does not show how many traders hold each view. Volume is not included in this snapshot, so it cannot be used to judge liquidity. The evidence contains no team news, lineup information, or confirmation that the match will be played as scheduled. Readers should check the current market page and the resolution rules at the time they read this, since the provider may have updated prices since the observation.
References
- Polymarket: CD Cieza vs. Granada CF - First Team to Score. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a three-outcome market on the first team to score in the upcoming match between CD Cieza and Granada CF. The match is scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET [1]. The contract's listed end time is 19:30 UTC on that date [1]. The saved market is still active, and it has not resolved. The three markets in the saved sample cover the same question from different angles. One asks whether neither team will score first. Another asks whether CD Cieza will score first. The third asks whether Granada CF will score first [1]. Each market is a separate contract with Yes and No outcomes. Their prices are snapshots from the observation time, not executable quotes, so they should not be read as verified probabilities. The rules define the scoring window narrowly. The market refers only to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1]. If neither team scores in that window, the market resolves to "Neither" [1]. The rules also cover unusual situations. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to "Neither" [1]. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable [1]. Resolution uses the official statistics recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those are not published within 2 hours after the event ends, the rules allow Flashscore data, then Sofascore data, and then a consensus of credible reporting if the earlier sources are unavailable [1]. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after resolution are not counted [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures which side, if either, scores first within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time of a scheduled match between CD Cieza and Granada CF [1]. Because the window excludes extra time and shoot-outs, the outcome depends only on the regulation portion of play [1]. Traders and readers can use the saved prices to see how the market valued each outcome at the observation time, but those prices are not a settled forecast and they do not show how many people traded [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as the first team to score?
The market resolves based on the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded [1].
What happens if neither team scores in the window?
The market resolves to "Neither" [1].
What happens if the match is postponed or canceled?
If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves to "Neither" [1].
Which data sources are used to settle the market?
The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. If those are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, Flashscore data may be used, then Sofascore data, and then a consensus of credible reporting if neither is available [1].
What happens if no acceptable data is available?
If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, the market resolves 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable [1].
Are later score revisions counted?
No. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not accounted for in determining the outcome [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
