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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Uzun Nicolai vs. Ungurean Maxim

Uzun Nicolai vs. Ungurean Maxim
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AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

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Reported volume ยท provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market refers to the table tennis match between Uzun Nicolai and Ungurean Maxim in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 22 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Uzun Nicolai' if Uzun Nicolai wins against Ungurean Maxim. This market will resolve to 'Ungurean Maxim' if Ungurean Maxim wins against Uzun Nicolai. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied evidence covers one Polymarket event, "Uzun Nicolai vs. Ungurean Maxim," for a table tennis match in the Setka Cup Moldova Men. The source says the match is "scheduled for October 22 at 12:00PM ET" [1]. The main match contract resolves to the winner. The source states that the market "will resolve to 'Uzun Nicolai' if Uzun Nicolai wins against Ungurean Maxim" [1].

The rules also cover unusual outcomes. The market "will resolve to 50-50" if the match is canceled, ends in a tie, is delayed beyond 7 days without a winner, or ends in a walkover [1]. If a match begins but one player advances due to retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to that player [1]. The primary resolution source is the event's official statistics, with a consensus of credible reporting as a fallback if final statistics are not published within 2 hours of the event's conclusion [1].

The saved event lists an end time of 2026-10-29T16:00:00.000Z [1]. This is a listed close time from the contract, not a record of when the match was played or when the market resolved.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observation time is 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-22T00:29:17.752Z [1]. These are two different times, and both describe the saved snapshot only. The prices below are not live.

The saved sample has five markets, all included, with no partial sample flagged. The markets are:

  • Match winner: Uzun Nicolai 0.5, Ungurean Maxim 0.5.
  • Total games Over/Under 3.5: Over 0.5, Under 0.5.
  • Total games Over/Under 4.5: Over 0.5, Under 0.5.
  • Game handicap, Uzun Nicolai (-1.5) vs Ungurean Maxim (+1.5): Uzun Nicolai 0.5, Ungurean Maxim 0.5.
  • Game handicap, Ungurean Maxim (-1.5) vs Uzun Nicolai (+1.5): Ungurean Maxim 0.5, Uzun Nicolai 0.5.

Every quoted outcome in this snapshot is 0.5. The two handicap markets use the same players with reversed labels, so they should be read as separate contracts, not as a price difference. The 3.5 and 4.5 totals are different lines and should not be compared directly.

What remains uncertain

These prices are snapshot quotes, not executable prices or verified probabilities. The evidence does not show trading depth, spreads, or the number of participants. The sample is limited to these saved Polymarket markets. The source notes that its listing "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. The evidence also does not say whether the match has been played, delayed, or resolved.

References

  1. Polymarket: Uzun Nicolai vs. Ungurean Maxim. Provider data observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 22, 2026 UTC

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a prediction market tied to a scheduled table tennis match between Uzun Nicolai and Ungurean Maxim in the Setka Cup Moldova Men event. The provider describes the match as scheduled for October 22 at 12:00 PM ET, and the main match-winner contract resolves to whichever player wins [1]. The saved event contains five markets: the match winner, two total-games contracts (over and under 3.5, and over and under 4.5), and two game-handicap contracts, one with Uzun Nicolai at -1.5 and one with Ungurean Maxim at -1.5 [1]. At the observation time recorded for this snapshot, every listed outcome was priced at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. Volume and listed prices can change, so the snapshot shows only what the provider reported at that moment. The contract includes several specific rules. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. A walkover, where a player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically, also resolves 50-50. If a match begins but is not completed, and one player advances because the opponent retires, defaults, or is disqualified, the market resolves to the player who advances [1]. The primary resolution source is the official statistics published by the event's governing body or organizers. If those final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, the contract allows a consensus of credible reporting to be used instead [1]. The listed end time for these markets is 2026-10-29 16:00 UTC, which is a market closing date in the contract data and not an announced match date [1].

Why It Matters

The contract measures the result of one scheduled table tennis match and several related game-based outcomes. The match-winner market resolves to the player who wins [1]. The total-games markets depend on the number of games played relative to the 3.5 or 4.5 line, and the game-handicap markets depend on the game margin implied by the stated spread [1]. Because the rules specify how cancellations, walkovers, and retirements are handled, the contract covers more than a simple win or loss. Traders can read the resolution terms to see how each unusual match situation would be settled.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-22 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines whether the match-winner contract pays out?

The contract resolves to Uzun Nicolai if he wins against Ungurean Maxim, and to Ungurean Maxim if he wins against Uzun Nicolai [1].

What happens if the match is canceled or not played?

If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50 [1].

What happens if one player retires during the match?

If the match begins but is not completed and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].

Which source is used to resolve the market?

The primary source is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or organizers. If final statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used [1].

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Saved Oct 22, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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