Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 0% on Polymarket.
Polymarket
- Yes0%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET" [1]. According to the saved rules, it "will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is "information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream," and the rules state that the market "is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets" [1]. Readers should therefore compare this contract only against other contracts that use the same time window and data source.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-16T02:50:44.479Z [1]. The saved prices are Yes at 0 and No at 1 [1]. These are snapshot values from one observation, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities.
The sample covers one market from one provider event. The coverage record reports one total market, one included market, and no partial sample [1]. The provider's sample warning states that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because only one contract is included, no ranking or comparison with other outcomes is possible here, and no cross-platform comparison is made.
The listed end time is 2026-01-20T12:20:00.000Z, while the observation date is 2026-10-16 [1]. The provider's status field reads "active" [1]. The end time is earlier than the observation time, so the evidence does not show whether this contract is still open, and the snapshot should not be read as a current market.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include trading volume, liquidity, or the number of participants, so the price cannot be assessed for depth. It also does not include the actual Bitcoin price at either the start or end of the window, nor any resolution outcome. Without these, the saved prices cannot be checked against what happened. The evidence also does not explain any movement in the price.
References
- Polymarket: Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T00:00:06.034Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket contract titled "Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET". It is a short-window binary contract on the direction of Bitcoin's price. The contract's rules say it will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The window named in the title is five minutes, and the listed end time is 2026-01-20T12:20:00Z [1]. The price used for resolution is specified by the contract. The stated resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream [1]. The rules also state that the market concerns the price according to that Chainlink data stream, not other sources or spot markets [1]. This matters because a Bitcoin price on one exchange or in another data feed could differ from the figure the contract uses. The contract's timing needs to be read carefully. The record was observed on 2026-10-16 and retrieved the same day, but the contract's listed end time is in January 2026. The retrieved provider status reads "active" [1], yet that status describes the saved record and does not show a final outcome. The supplied material does not establish which direction the contract settled to, so this entry does not state a result.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink BTC/USD price at the end of a five-minute window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window [1]. It is a narrow question about short-term price direction rather than a forecast of Bitcoin's broader price. Because the reference price is a specific data stream, the resolution depends on that feed, as stated in the contract rules [1]. Readers comparing this contract with a Bitcoin price shown elsewhere should keep in mind that the contract names its own source.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What price determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract compares the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range in its title with the price at the beginning of that range. The price is taken from the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream, not from other sources or spot markets [1].
What does Up mean for this contract?
The contract resolves to Up if the end-of-range price is greater than or equal to the beginning-of-range price. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1]. Equal prices therefore count as Up.
Does the recorded price for an outcome show how likely it is?
No. The recorded prices are snapshots from a specific moment and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The record shows the Yes outcome at 0 and the No outcome at 1 at its observation time, which describes that snapshot only.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.