Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the Hyperliquid price over the 3:05PM to 3:10PM ET window on October 28 [1]. The rules say it resolves to "Up" if "the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T19:10:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time, while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers should check both when comparing with other contracts. The end time is a contract closing time, not an announced event or an actual resolution. The evidence does not show a resolved outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices were observed at 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z and retrieved at 2026-10-28T06:03:01.795Z [1]. The quoted prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot values from that observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence does not show prices at any later time, so this record should not be read as the current price.
The Up price is slightly higher than the Down price in this snapshot. That difference is a small quoted gap in one saved observation. The evidence does not explain why the prices stood where they did, and it does not show how many participants held either side.
The sample covers one market from one event. The coverage record shows 1 total market, 1 included, and no partial sample [1]. The selection rule and sample warning apply to saved provider events only and do not show every possible outcome in the real world [1]. Because this event contains only Up and Down, no outcome has been omitted from the comparison.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include trading volume, liquidity, or the number of traders, so none of these can be inferred from the prices. The snapshot does not establish whether the market is open or tradable at any given moment, though the saved status was "active" [1]. Similar Hyperliquid contracts with different time windows or sources should not be compared directly without checking their rules. A price difference between two contracts does not by itself show an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term crypto contract on Polymarket titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET" [1]. It asks whether the price of HYPE/USD over one five-minute window will finish at or above where that window began. According to the rules recorded in the source, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The price used is the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, which the rules name as the resolution source [1]. The rules also say the market concerns that specific Chainlink data stream and not other sources or spot markets [1]. A trader therefore needs to understand how that stream is calculated, not only where HYPE is quoted elsewhere. The saved record lists the contract's end time as 2026-10-28T19:10:00.000Z, which corresponds to the close of the 3:05PM to 3:10PM ET window [1]. That is the listed closing time from the contract rules. The record does not, on its own, show when the outcome was determined or paid out. The contract had one saved outcome pair, Up and Down, in the event record [1]. The application's price figures are snapshots taken at a specific observation time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they should not be read as a forecast of where the price will go.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Chainlink HYPE/USD time-weighted average price over the 3:05PM to 3:10PM ET window ends at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because the comparison uses a time-weighted average rather than a single trade, the result depends on the data stream's averaging method and not only on the start and end prices. The rules limit the comparison to this one data stream, so other exchanges or spot prices do not decide the outcome [1]. The contract is a narrow, five-minute question with a defined resolution source and a listed closing time [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as an "Up" resolution?
The market resolves to "Up" if the Chainlink TWAP of Hyperliquid over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price source decides the outcome?
The resolution source named in the rules is the Chainlink HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
Does the listed end time show when the result was confirmed?
No. The source gives the listed end time as 2026-10-28T19:10:00.000Z [1], which is the contract's closing time. The source does not state when the result was determined.
Do the displayed prices show the chance that HYPE will rise?
No. The displayed Up and Down prices are snapshots from the observation time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and the source does not explain why they were at those levels [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.