Salavat Yulaev UFA vs Metallurg Magnitogorsk
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Salavat Yulaev UFA vs Metallurg Magnitogorsk
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Metallurg Magnitogorsk at 69.5%.
Kalshi
- Metallurg Magnitogorsk69.5%
- Salavat Yulaev UFA31%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
SAL vs MET (Oct 21) If X wins the Salavat Yulaev UFA vs Metallurg Magnitogorsk professional KHL hockey game originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after a winner is declared.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-20T03:00:06.020Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The saved Kalshi event is "Salavat Yulaev UFA vs Metallurg Magnitogorsk," described as a KHL hockey game "originally scheduled for Oct 21, 2026" [1]. The rules state that if "X wins" the game, the market resolves to Yes. The two markets are "Metallurg Magnitogorsk wins" and "Salavat Yulaev UFA wins," each with a Yes and No outcome.
The rules also set out postponement terms. If the game is postponed but begins "within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result" [1]. If it is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, "all markets will resolve to a fair price" [1]. The excerpt says the market "will close and expire after a winner is declared" [1]. The October 21 date comes from the contract rules and is not evidence that the game is scheduled on that date today.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-20T03:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-20T03:51:54Z [1]. These are historical snapshots, not live quotes or executable prices.
The saved Yes prices are 0.685 for Metallurg Magnitogorsk and 0.29 for Salavat Yulaev UFA [1]. The corresponding No prices are 0.315 and 0.71. Read these as the prices recorded at that observation time. They are not verified probabilities, and the snapshot does not explain why the prices stood where they did.
Coverage covers both saved markets for this event, with no partial sample flagged [1]. The provider's sample warning still applies: it "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Volume and trader counts are not in the evidence, so the snapshot says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold each view.
The saved end date is 2026-10-23T14:00:00Z [1]. The excerpt separately says "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. Treat the saved date as a stored field whose meaning the excerpt does not confirm, and rely on the rule that the market closes after a winner is declared.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the game's current status, any postponement notice, or the final result. It also contains no price data after the observation time. Because only one platform is in the sample, there is nothing to compare against for differences in wording or close times. Do not treat any gap between this and another contract as an arbitrage opportunity without matching resolution terms.
References
- Kalshi: Salavat Yulaev UFA vs Metallurg Magnitogorsk. Provider data observed 2026-10-20T03:00:06.020Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 20, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a binary market tied to the Salavat Yulaev UFA vs Metallurg Magnitogorsk professional KHL hockey game originally scheduled for October 21, 2026. The listed event is titled "SAL vs MET (Oct 21)" on Kalshi [1]. Under the contract terms, if the named team wins that game, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The saved event includes two separate markets, one for each team winning [1]. The rules also cover schedule changes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market stays open and resolves based on the official final result [1]. If the game is cancelled, or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price [1]. The market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1]. Kalshi states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing league, and that trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners [1]. The provider event lists its status as active, but it does not supply a listed end time [1]. Any end date shown in the market data should not be read as a resolution time or an announced event date. What the contract measures is narrow: the outcome of one scheduled game, as reflected in the official final result, with specific rules for postponement and cancellation. It does not measure the broader season, standings, or any other game involving these teams.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a specific team wins one scheduled KHL game. The rule text defines the Yes condition as a win by the named team in the game originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 [1]. Because the postponement window and the cancellation rule are written into the contract, the terms determine how a changed schedule would be handled, which is central to reading any price for this market [1]. Readers should compare the wording of each market, since the two markets in this event are framed by team name [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-20 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What makes the market resolve to Yes?
The market resolves to Yes if the named team wins the professional KHL hockey game originally scheduled for October 21, 2026 [1].
What happens if the game is postponed?
If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result [1].
What happens if the game is cancelled?
If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, all markets resolve to a fair price [1].
Is Kalshi connected to the league?
Kalshi states that it is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing league [1].
When does the market close?
The market closes and expires after a winner is declared [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Saved prices; check contract rules.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
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