HYPE Up or Down - October 25, 1AM ET
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HYPE Up or Down - October 25, 1AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/futures/HYPEUSDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance HYPE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-24T00:00:06.197Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract on the HYPE/USDT pair on Binance. It resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price of the one-hour candle that begins at the time named in the title, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The contract's own rules say it concerns Binance HYPE/USDT specifically, "not according to other exchanges or trading pairs" [1]. The resolution uses the open and close shown for that "1H" candle "once the data for that candle is finalized" [1].
The title names the candle as "October 25, 1AM ET" [1]. The provider's listed end time is 2026-10-25T06:00:00.000Z [1]. The excerpt does not explain how that listed end time relates to the 1AM ET candle start, so readers should check the rule text rather than assume the two timestamps match.
Reading the snapshot
The saved market shows two outcomes, "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5, with status "active" [1]. The observation time is 2026-10-24T00:00:06.197Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-24T01:28:08.288Z [1]. The prices therefore describe the market at the observation time, not at the retrieval time. The evidence contains no later price, so this snapshot cannot tell us what the quotes are now.
The coverage record lists one market for this event, with no partial sample [1]. Because this is a single binary contract, there is no other outcome in the sample to compare against. Equal prices in a snapshot mean only that the two quoted sides were at 0.5 at that moment. These are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. The evidence also contains no volume or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold each view.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show why the prices stood where they did, and it contains no news or market commentary. It does not show the actual HYPE/USDT open or close for the candle, so the resolution outcome is not known from this record. The contract's listed end time is in the future relative to the retrieval time, but the excerpt provides no information about how the market will behave before it closes. Other exchanges or pairs are outside this contract's scope, so their prices should not be treated as an alternative reading of this outcome.
References
- Polymarket: HYPE Up or Down - October 25, 1AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-24T00:00:06.197Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 24, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a short-term price direction market for HYPE, listed on Polymarket under the title "HYPE Up or Down - October 25, 1AM ET" [1]. It asks whether the price of HYPE will rise or fall over one specific one-hour candle. The market resolves to "Up" if the close price of that candle is greater than or equal to its open price, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The resolution source is Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair. The contract directs that the open and close shown for the relevant 1H candle on Binance will be used once that candle's data is finalized [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price on Binance HYPE/USDT and not the price on other exchanges or trading pairs [1]. Anyone reading the contract should therefore check the Binance candle, not a general HYPE price figure from another source. The listed end time is 2026-10-25T06:00:00Z, and the provider reported the market as active at the time of its observation [1]. The title refers to 1AM ET, so the candle and the listed end time should be read together with the contract's own wording.
Why It Matters
The contract measures direction over a single hour rather than a longer price trend. Because a tie counts as "Up" under the stated rule, a candle that closes exactly at its open resolves "Up" [1]. The contract's value depends entirely on the Binance HYPE/USDT candle, so the choice of exchange and pair is central to how it settles [1]. The saved snapshot shows the "Up" and "Down" outcomes each priced at 0.5 [1]. This is a recorded price at one observation time, not an executable quote, and it should not be read as a verified probability of either outcome. The market's volume and the number of participants are not provided in the supplied record, so no conclusion about liquidity can be drawn from it [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-24 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the "Up" outcome require?
The market resolves to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the HYPE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins at the time in the title [1].
Which price source decides the result?
The resolution source is information from Binance, specifically the HYPE/USDT pair, and the market concerns that pair rather than other exchanges or trading pairs [1].
When will the open and close values be used?
The open and close displayed for the relevant 1H candle on Binance will be used once the data for that candle is finalized [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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