Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
PM $0
1
1
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket contract covers the window titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over that range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A price from another venue would therefore not settle this contract. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T08:10:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time, while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers should convert the two before relying on the close.
Reading the snapshot
The saved observation is timed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-19T09:32:31.935Z [1]. These are different moments. The observation is when the prices were recorded, and retrieval is when the record was pulled. Neither is a live reading. At observation, "Up" was priced at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. In this record the two outcomes sum to 1.00. The sample contains one market from one event, and it is not flagged as partial [1]. Because there is only one contract, this evidence supports no comparison with other platforms or other windows. The record also gives no volume or trader figures, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many participants hold either side.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not show what has happened since the observation. The status is listed as active, and no resolution appears in the material [1]. The snapshot does not explain why the prices sit near even odds. The sample notes that it does not establish that providers list every possible real-world outcome, although this binary contract includes both of its outcomes [1]. Any reading of the current position requires a newer snapshot than the one supplied.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term crypto price contract listed on Polymarket. Its title, Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET, indicates a five-minute window on October 20. The contract asks whether the price of HYPE/USD over that window will finish at or above where it started. The rules say the market "will resolve to 'Up' if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to 'Down'" [1]. The resolution source is named in the rules as Chainlink's HYPE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules also state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink stream for the HYPE/USD pair, "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader should therefore treat the contract as tied to that specific data feed, not to a general reading of Hyperliquid's price elsewhere. The listed end time is 2026-10-20T08:10:00.000Z, which is 08:10 UTC on October 20 [1]. The window in the title is given in Eastern Time, so the rules and the listed end time should be read together when checking the timing. The listed end time is when the contract closes, and it is not the same as the moment the outcome is determined or reported. Those steps are described by the rules, not by a separate announcement. At the observation time of 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z, the saved provider snapshot showed the Up outcome at 0.505 and the Down outcome at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from that moment. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of the outcome. The saved data does not include trading volume, so nothing here speaks to liquidity or the number of participants.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the time-weighted average price of HYPE/USD, as recorded in Chainlink's TWAP data stream, is at or above the price at the start of the stated five-minute window [1]. Because the comparison uses an average over the window rather than a single moment, the outcome depends on how the price behaves across the whole period. The rules specify that only the Chainlink stream counts, so other exchanges or spot markets do not determine the result [1]. For someone reading the market, the important points are the exact comparison, the named data stream, and the listed end time of 08:10 UTC [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract resolves Up if the TWAP of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which data source is used for resolution?
The rules name information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream, as the resolution source, and state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When does the contract end?
The saved listing shows an end time of 2026-10-20T08:10:00.000Z, which is 08:10 UTC on October 20 [1].
What do the prices shown mean?
At the saved observation time of 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z, the Up price was 0.505 and the Down price was 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
PM $0Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
PM $0Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
PM $0Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
PM $0Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
PM $0
XRP Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.