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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

EC Bahia vs. CR Flamengo - Halftime Result

EC Bahia vs. CR Flamengo - Halftime Result
Vol

PM $328.4K

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Events

2

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Markets

6

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $328.4K

Reported volume · provider units

6

Saved contracts

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between EC Bahia and CR Flamengo, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T00:00:05.826Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied records cover two Polymarket events for the Brazil Série A match between EC Bahia and CR Flamengo, scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET [1][2]. The halftime event asks about the score at the break. Its markets cover "home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time" [1]. The full-match event uses different wording: "Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-10-18?", "Will EC Bahia win on 2026-10-18?", and "Will EC Bahia vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?" [2]. A draw at halftime and a draw at full time are separate contracts with separate rules, so their prices should not be read as one measure.

Both events list an end time of 2026-10-18T21:30:00.000Z [1][2]. That is the listed close time in the provider record, not a result.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these markets at 2026-10-19T00:00:05.826Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-19T00:12:59.169Z [1][2]. Both times are later than the listed end time, yet the provider status for both events is still "active" [1][2]. The records do not show a final result, a resolution, or whether the match has finished, so this snapshot cannot tell a reader how any contract settled.

The quoted Yes prices were:

  • Halftime, draw: 0.9985. Halftime, EC Bahia leading: 0.0005. Halftime, CR Flamengo leading: 0.0005 [1].
  • Full match, CR Flamengo win: 0.9995. Full match, EC Bahia win: 0.0005. Full match, draw: 0.0005 [2].

These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. They also do not show trading volume, liquidity, or how many people hold each view. Because the halftime and full-match contracts ask different questions, the price difference between them is not an arbitrage signal.

What remains uncertain

The sample is complete for these saved events: each event shows three of three markets included, and partialSample is false [1][2]. The sample warning still applies. It states that the providers may not list every possible real-world outcome [1][2]. Nothing in the record explains why the prices are at these levels.

References

  1. Polymarket: EC Bahia vs. CR Flamengo - Halftime Result. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T00:00:05.826Z.
  2. Polymarket: EC Bahia vs. CR Flamengo. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T00:00:05.826Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTC

Overview

The saved Polymarket event titled "EC Bahia vs. CR Flamengo - Halftime Result" concerns a Brazil Série A match scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET [1]. The event contains halftime result markets for the home team, a draw, and the away team, covering the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time [1]. Each halftime question is a separate yes or no contract. The saved set includes a draw at halftime, EC Bahia leading at halftime, and CR Flamengo leading at halftime [1]. The provider record lists the event status as active and gives a listed end time of 2026-10-18T21:30:00Z [1]. That field is the provider's listed end time for the contract. It is not a confirmed match-end time, and it does not show when or how the contract settled. A second saved event, "EC Bahia vs. CR Flamengo", covers the same match as a full-match contract [2]. Its saved markets ask whether CR Flamengo will win on 2026-10-18, whether EC Bahia will win on that date, and whether the match will end in a draw [2]. This event shares the same listed end time as the halftime event [2]. The two events are separate contracts measuring different periods of play, so a difference in their prices does not by itself indicate an arbitrage opportunity. The saved sample for each event includes all three of its markets, so no markets were left out of this record [1][2]. The record was observed at 2026-10-19T00:00:05Z, and the evidence does not include the match result or any settlement outcome. This article therefore describes the contract structure and the saved snapshot only, and it does not say how either contract resolved.

Why It Matters

The halftime event measures the state of the scoreline at the end of the first half, defined as the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time [1]. Its three markets split that state into a draw, a lead for EC Bahia, or a lead for CR Flamengo, with a yes and a no side for each [1]. The full-match event measures the final result of the same game through separate questions about a Flamengo win, a Bahia win, and a draw on 2026-10-18 [2]. Reading the two events together shows how one fixture can be priced at different points in its timeline. The saved prices are snapshots at the observation time, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What period of play does the halftime contract cover?

According to the saved event description, the halftime markets cover the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time [1].

Is the listed end time the same as the match result being confirmed?

No. The saved record lists an end time of 2026-10-18T21:30:00Z for both events [1][2]. That is a provider field. The evidence does not show a confirmed result or settlement for either contract.

Why are there two events for the same match?

The saved records show two separate Polymarket events. One is a halftime result event [1] and the other is a full-match event [2]. Each asks different questions about the same scheduled game.

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Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiSports
Santos vs Bahia

Santos vs Bahia

PM $188.34 · K 56.4 contracts

Santos FC leading at halftime?

Kalshi: Santos wins

Related contracts

PM Yes 37.5%Rules differK Yes 48.5%

Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-24?

Kalshi: Santos wins

Related contracts

PM Yes 48%Rules differK Yes 48.5%

Santos FC vs. EC Bahia: Draw at halftime?

Kalshi: Tie is the result

Related contracts

PM Yes 38.5%Rules differK Yes 25%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

6 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC
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CR Vasco da Gama vs. CR Flamengo - Halftime Result

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CR Vasco da Gama leading at halftime?Yes 49%
CR Flamengo leading at halftime?Yes 49%
CR Vasco da Gama vs. CR Flamengo: Draw at halftime?Yes 31%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC
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CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata - Halftime Result

CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata - Halftime Result

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CR Flamengo leading at halftime?Yes 49.5%
CR Flamengo vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: Draw at halftime?Yes 40%
Estudiantes de La Plata leading at halftime?Yes 7.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
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CR Brasil vs. Londrina EC - Halftime Result

CR Brasil vs. Londrina EC - Halftime Result

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CR Brasil vs. Londrina EC: Draw at halftime?Yes 50%
CR Brasil leading at halftime?Yes 49.5%
Londrina EC leading at halftime?Yes 49.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 24, 2026 UTC
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CR Flamengo vs. CA Mineiro - Halftime Result

CR Flamengo vs. CA Mineiro - Halftime Result

PM $0
CR Flamengo leading at halftime?Yes 53%
CR Flamengo vs. CA Mineiro: Draw at halftime?Yes 34.5%
CA Mineiro leading at halftime?Yes 10.5%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 26, 2026 UTC
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EC Bahia vs. São Paulo FC - Halftime Result

EC Bahia vs. São Paulo FC - Halftime Result

PM $0
EC Bahia leading at halftime?Yes 49%
São Paulo FC leading at halftime?Yes 49%
EC Bahia vs. São Paulo FC: Draw at halftime?Yes 31%
3 mktsNext deadline Oct 29, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Reviewed equivalent pairs

0

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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