XRP Up or Down - October 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
PM $0
1
1
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/xrp-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair XRP/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-24T03:00:05.981Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The market is titled "XRP Up or Down - October 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET" [1]. Under its rules, it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of XRP, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the XRP/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair XRP/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-24T09:15:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers comparing the two should convert between them.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-24T03:00:05.981Z, and the source retrieval time is 2026-10-24T06:10:43.817Z [1]. These are different events. The observation records when the provider data was captured, and retrieval records when this copy was pulled. Neither is the contract's close or its resolution. The retrieved source reported the provider status as active [1].
The saved quoted prices are "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. In this record they sum to 1.00. The evidence does not explain why the prices stand where they do, and it does not show how many traders hold either view. The sample contains only this one market from one provider, so no comparison with other platforms or other contracts is possible.
What remains uncertain
The sample includes all saved markets for this event: one of one, with partialSample set to false [1]. The sample warning adds that this does not establish that providers list every possible real-world outcome [1]. The evidence contains no volume, liquidity, or trader count, so none of these should be inferred from the prices. The prices reflect the observation time only. The evidence contains no later prices, so the current price cannot be determined from it. The eventual outcome depends on Chainlink TWAP data that is not included in the supplied material, and this snapshot should not be read as a record of forecasting accuracy.
References
- Polymarket: XRP Up or Down - October 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-24T03:00:05.981Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 24, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term binary contract on Polymarket that asks whether the price of XRP will rise or fall over a 15-minute window. The event is titled "XRP Up or Down - October 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET" and is listed in the crypto category [1]. Its listed end time is 2026-10-24T09:15:00Z [1]. The contract has two outcomes, Up and Down. The resolution rule is based on a time-weighted average price (TWAP), not on a single trade or a spot quote at the close. According to the source, the market resolves to Up if the TWAP of XRP over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1]. The source states that the resolution data comes from Chainlink, specifically the XRP/USD TWAP data stream, and that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink stream rather than prices from other sources or spot markets [1]. At the time the source was observed, the saved snapshot showed the Up outcome at 0.505 and the Down outcome at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from the provider's data at that moment. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. The saved provider status at observation was active [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether XRP's average price over a specific 15-minute window ends at or above its starting level. Because it uses a TWAP rather than a single point price, a short spike or drop at the very end of the window would have a smaller effect than it would under a closing-price rule. The source specifies that the rule relies on the Chainlink XRP/USD TWAP data stream and not on other sources [1]. Anyone reading the contract should therefore check the named data stream and the stated comparison (average versus starting price) rather than a general XRP price chart.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-24 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the Up outcome require?
The Up outcome requires the TWAP of XRP over the time range in the title to be greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, according to the Chainlink data stream named in the source [1].
What is the resolution source?
The source names the Chainlink XRP/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source and states that other sources or spot markets are not used for this market [1].
When does this contract end?
The listed end time in the saved event record is 2026-10-24T09:15:00Z [1]. The record was observed at an earlier time, so its status should not be treated as the status today.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
XRP Up or Down - October 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
PM $0XRP Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
PM $0
Solana Up or Down - October 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
PM $0
BNB Up or Down - October 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
PM $0
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
PM $0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.