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Philadelphia vs Cincinnati: Home Runs

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Philadelphia vs Cincinnati: Home Runs

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

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markets · $0.00

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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35 markets tracked

Gabriel Rincones: 1+ home runs?

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Single-Platform Markets(35)

Market	Platform	Price
Gabriel Rincones: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	34%
Kyle Schwarber: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	20%
Bryce Harper: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	12%
Sal Stewart: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	10%
Tyler Stephenson: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	9%
Eugenio Suárez: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	9%
Bryson Stott: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	8%
Elly De La Cruz: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	8%
Spencer Steer: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	8%
Brandon Marsh: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	7%
Noelvi Marte: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	7%
J.T. Realmuto: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	7%
Trea Turner: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	7%
Alec Bohm: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	6%
JJ Bleday: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	6%
Edwin Arroyo: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	5%
Justin Crawford: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	4%
Bryson Stott: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	4%
TJ Friedl: 1+ home runs?	Kalshi	4%
Alec Bohm: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Kyle Schwarber: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	2%
Brandon Marsh: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Kyle Schwarber: 3+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Tyler Stephenson: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Spencer Steer: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Sal Stewart: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Noelvi Marte: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
JJ Bleday: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
J.T. Realmuto: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Gabriel Rincones: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Eugenio Suárez: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Edwin Arroyo: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Trea Turner: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Bryce Harper: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%
Elly De La Cruz: 2+ home runs?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

34%

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About This Event

PHI vs CIN (Jul 9) If Tyler Stephenson records X home runs in Philadelphia vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Tyler Stephenson is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Tyler Stephenson starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Ty

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Philadelphia vs Cincinnati: Home Runs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** PHI vs CIN (Jul 9)

If Tyler Stephenson records X home runs in Philadelphia vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Tyler Stephenson is scratched or not included in the starting lineup, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Tyler Stephenson starts the game but does not record a plate appearance, the market will resolve to the fair market price. If Ty

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Tyler Stephenson records 2+ home runs in Philadelphia vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria
If Tyler Stephenson is scratched or not included in the "

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Tyler Stephenson: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Tyler Stephenson: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. TJ Friedl: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Spencer Steer: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Spencer Steer: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Sal Stewart: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Sal Stewart: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Noelvi Marte: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Noelvi Marte: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Justin Crawford: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. JJ Bleday: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. JJ Bleday: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. J.T. Realmuto: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. J.T. Realmuto: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Gabriel Rincones: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Gabriel Rincones: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Eugenio Suárez: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Eugenio Suárez: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Edwin Arroyo: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Edwin Arroyo: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

### 21. Bryson Stott: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 22. Bryson Stott: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 23. Brandon Marsh: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 24. Brandon Marsh: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 25. Alec Bohm: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 26. Alec Bohm: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 27. Trea Turner: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 28. Trea Turner: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 29. Kyle Schwarber: 3+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 30. Kyle Schwarber: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 31. Kyle Schwarber: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 32. Bryce Harper: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 33. Bryce Harper: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 34. Elly De La Cruz: 2+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 35. Elly De La Cruz: 1+ home runs?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 12, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHISports

Philadelphia vs Cincinnati: Home Runs

Volume$0.00

Markets35

35 of 35

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KALSHI

Gabriel Rincones: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 34.0¢No 66.0¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Gabriel Rincones: 1+ home runs?

If Gabriel Rincones records 1+ home runs in Philadelphia vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Gabriel Rincones is scratched or not included in the

KALSHI

Kyle Schwarber: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Kyle Schwarber: 1+ home runs?

If Kyle Schwarber records 1+ home runs in Philadelphia vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Kyle Schwarber is scratched or not included in the star

KALSHI

Bryce Harper: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.0¢No 88.0¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Bryce Harper: 1+ home runs?

If Bryce Harper records 1+ home runs in Philadelphia vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Bryce Harper is scratched or not included in the starting

KALSHI

Sal Stewart: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Sal Stewart: 1+ home runs?

If Sal Stewart records 1+ home runs in Philadelphia vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Sal Stewart is scratched or not included in the starting l

KALSHI

Tyler Stephenson: 1+ home runs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 8.5¢No 91.5¢

KALSHIWorld

CLOSING SOON

Tyler Stephenson: 1+ home runs?

If Tyler Stephenson records 1+ home runs in Philadelphia vs Cincinnati professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 9, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Player Participation & Settlement Criteria If Tyler Stephenson is scratched or not included in the

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/MD18kp" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Philadelphia vs Cincinnati: Home Runs"></iframe>

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Philadelphia vs Cincinnati: Home Runs

Philadelphia vs Cincinnati: Home Runs

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Gabriel Rincones: 1+ home runs?

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About This Event

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Events (1)

Philadelphia vs Cincinnati: Home Runs

Markets (35)

Gabriel Rincones: 1+ home runs?

Gabriel Rincones: 1+ home runs?

Kyle Schwarber: 1+ home runs?

Kyle Schwarber: 1+ home runs?

Bryce Harper: 1+ home runs?

Bryce Harper: 1+ home runs?

Sal Stewart: 1+ home runs?

Sal Stewart: 1+ home runs?

Tyler Stephenson: 1+ home runs?

Tyler Stephenson: 1+ home runs?

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Gabriel Rincones: 1+ home runs?

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Philadelphia vs Cincinnati: Home Runs

Gabriel Rincones: 1+ home runs?

Gabriel Rincones: 1+ home runs?

Kyle Schwarber: 1+ home runs?

Kyle Schwarber: 1+ home runs?

Bryce Harper: 1+ home runs?

Bryce Harper: 1+ home runs?

Sal Stewart: 1+ home runs?

Sal Stewart: 1+ home runs?

Tyler Stephenson: 1+ home runs?

Tyler Stephenson: 1+ home runs?

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