Market snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

New York City Marathon 2026: Top American Woman

Reported volume

PM $1.01

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New York City Marathon 2026: Top American Woman

Vol

PM $1.01

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Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Jessica McClain at 99%.

Polymarket

Jessica McClain99%
Fiona O'Keeffe49%
Erika Kemp49%
Lauren Hagans49%
Paige Wood49%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

18 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Jessica McClain be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jessica McClain be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Poly	99.0%
Will Fiona O'Keeffe be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Poly	49.0%
Will Erika Kemp be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Poly	49.0%
Will Lauren Hagans be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Poly	49.0%
Will Paige Wood be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Poly	49.0%
Will Steph Bruce be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Poly	49.0%
Will Keelah Barger be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Poly	49.0%
Will Maddie Block be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Poly	49.0%
Will Weini Kelati be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Poly	49.0%
Will Alosha Southern be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Poly	39.0%
Will Megan O'Neil be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Poly	35.0%
Will Brooke Starn be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Poly	35.0%
Will Carrie Ellwood be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Poly	34.5%
Will Amanda Vestri be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Poly	34.5%
Will Roberta Groner be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Poly	34.5%
Will Monica Hebner be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Poly	34.5%
Will Cailie Hughes be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Poly	34.5%
Will Annie Frisbie be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?	Poly	30.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $1.01

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results. If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other". If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: New York City Marathon 2026: Top American Woman
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $1.01
Coverage: 18 of 18 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Jessica McClain be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6400256; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-marathon-2026-top-american-woman-jessica-mcclain
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.01
Outcome Yes: 99.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 1.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results.

If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Annie Frisbie be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6400258; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-marathon-2026-top-american-woman-annie-frisbie
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 30.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 70.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results.

If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Fiona O'Keeffe be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6400260; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-marathon-2026-top-american-woman-fiona-okeeffe
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 49.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results.

If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Carrie Ellwood be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6400262; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-marathon-2026-top-american-woman-carrie-ellwood
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 34.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 65.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results.

If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Erika Kemp be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6400264; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-marathon-2026-top-american-woman-erika-kemp
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 49.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results.

If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Amanda Vestri be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6400266; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-marathon-2026-top-american-woman-amanda-vestri
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 34.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 65.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results.

If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Lauren Hagans be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6400268; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-marathon-2026-top-american-woman-lauren-hagans
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 49.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results.

If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Paige Wood be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6400270; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-marathon-2026-top-american-woman-paige-wood
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 49.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results.

If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Steph Bruce be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6400272; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-marathon-2026-top-american-woman-steph-bruce
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 49.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results.

If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Roberta Groner be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6400274; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-marathon-2026-top-american-woman-roberta-groner
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 34.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 65.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results.

If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Megan O'Neil be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6400276; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-marathon-2026-top-american-woman-megan-oneil
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 35.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 65.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results.

If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Monica Hebner be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6400278; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-marathon-2026-top-american-woman-monica-hebner
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 34.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 65.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results.

If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Brooke Starn be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6400280; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-marathon-2026-top-american-woman-brooke-starn
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 35.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 65.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results.

If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Alosha Southern be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6400282; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-marathon-2026-top-american-woman-alosha-southern
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 39.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 61.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results.

If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Keelah Barger be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6400284; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-marathon-2026-top-american-woman-keelah-barger
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 49.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results.

If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Maddie Block be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6400286; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-marathon-2026-top-american-woman-maddie-block
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 49.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results.

If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Cailie Hughes be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6400287; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-marathon-2026-top-american-woman-cailie-hughes
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 34.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 65.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results.

If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Weini Kelati be the top American finisher in the 2026 New York City Marathon Women's Open Division?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-6400288; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/nyc-marathon-2026-top-american-woman-weini-kelati
Observed: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 2, 2026, 4:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $0
Outcome Yes: 49.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 51.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: This market will resolve according to the athlete representing the United States who finishes in the highest place among all United States athletes in the Women's Open Division of the 2026 TCS New York City Marathon, scheduled for November 1, 2026. Country designation will be determined by the official results.

If a listed athlete does not start or does not finish the race, the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the official results declare a tie between the highest-placed United States athletes, or if no United States athlete finishes the race, this market will resolve to "Other".

If the race is canceled, or is postponed to a date more than two days after November 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by New York Road Runners (NYRR); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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