Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: 1st Tampa Bay Touchdown
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Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: 1st Tampa Bay Touchdown
K 0 contracts
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10
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Tez Johnson at 35%.
Kalshi
- Tez Johnson35%
- Ted Hurst III35%
- Sean Tucker35%
- No Touchdown35%
- David Sills V35%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
10
Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
ATL vs TB (Nov 1) If X scores the first touchdown for Tampa Bay in Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers X vs Tampa Bay professional football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026. Y is active but never takes a snap, the market settles to the fair market price before game start. Z takes at least one snap, even if nullified by penalty, the market settles based on touchdowns scored. If no Tampa Bay touchdowns are scored in the game, the No Tampa Bay Touchdown market resolves to Yes and all other player markets resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-30T12:00:07.014Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Kalshi event asks whether a named Tampa Bay player scores the first Tampa Bay touchdown in a game [1]. The rules state that "If X scores the first touchdown for Tampa Bay in Atlanta vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] The wording "originally scheduled" means the rules do not guarantee the game will take place on that date. Separate rules cover players who never take a snap, who take a snap, and a "No Tampa Bay Touchdown" market that resolves to Yes if no Tampa Bay touchdown is scored [1]. Each contract therefore has its own resolution condition, so the ten markets should not be read as one interchangeable question.
Reading the snapshot
The saved sample includes ten Kalshi markets for this event, and the coverage record shows all ten were included, with no partial sample [1]. Nine player and "No Touchdown" contracts show a Yes price of 0.35 and a No price of 0.65. The Tampa Bay D/ST contract shows a Yes price of 0.04 and a No price of 0.96 [1]. The observation time is 2026-10-30T12:00:07.014Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-30T13:58:21.573Z [1]. These are snapshots at those times, not current or executable quotes.
Each market lists an end date of 2026-11-03T18:00:00.000Z, while the event record states "Listed end time: not supplied" [1]. The contract text also says the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. The end date is a listed close time, not confirmation of when the game will be played or when the market will settle.
Because the markets are on different players and conditions, their prices should not be averaged or ranked against each other as a single probability field. The prices also should not be treated as verified probabilities.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices are at their observed levels, how many traders are involved, or whether these figures reflect recent news. Volume is not included in the excerpt, so it cannot be used to judge liquidity. The sample covers only the saved Kalshi event, and the warning states that the sample "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. No other platform is included, so no cross-platform comparison is possible. The supplied evidence also does not confirm the game's status, any roster changes, or the final result.
References
- Kalshi: Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: 1st Tampa Bay Touchdown. Provider data observed 2026-10-30T12:00:07.014Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 30, 2026 UTCOverview
This Kalshi event, titled "Atlanta vs Tampa Bay: 1st Tampa Bay Touchdown," is a contract tied to a professional football game between Atlanta and Tampa Bay that was originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 [1]. Each market asks whether a specific player, or the team's defense and special teams, will score the first Tampa Bay touchdown in that game [1]. The event page lists the category as Sports and shows a provider status of active, with no listed end time supplied [1]. The contract rules set the basic payout logic. If a named player scores the first Tampa Bay touchdown, that player's market resolves to Yes [1]. If the game produces no Tampa Bay touchdowns, the "No Touchdown" market resolves to Yes and all other player markets resolve to No [1]. The rules also address players who do not play. A player who is listed but never takes a snap settles to the fair market price before game start, while a player who takes at least one snap settles based on the touchdowns scored, even if a touchdown is nullified by penalty [1]. The provider states that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The provider also states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or otherwise officially connected with the governing league, and that team and league trademarks belong to their respective owners [1]. The saved market data shows ten markets in this event. Nine player and team-position markets, including the "No Touchdown" market, each showed a Yes price of 0.35 and a No price of 0.65 in the saved snapshot [1]. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers D/ST market showed a Yes price of 0.04 and a No price of 0.96 [1]. These figures were observed at 12:00:07 UTC on October 30, 2026, and were retrieved from the provider at 13:58 UTC that day [1]. They are snapshots of listed prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities of any outcome.
Historical Context
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are a professional American football team based in Tampa, Florida, and compete in the National Football League as a member of the National Football Conference South division [3]. The team joined the NFL in 1974 as an expansion team and played its first season in 1976 in the American Football Conference West division [3]. The 2020 season, which the team played as its 45th in the league, included a Super Bowl LV win in the team's home stadium, Raymond James Stadium [2]. This background describes the team's history only and does not describe the November 2026 game or its market.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow event: which player, or which side of the game, scores the first Tampa Bay touchdown in one scheduled game [1]. Because each market is a separate yes or no question tied to a single event, the saved prices show how the listed markets were priced at one observation time and do not represent the full set of outcomes in a real game [1]. The market data indicates that all saved markets for this event are included in the sample, but the source notes that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1]. The listed end date of November 3, 2026 at 18:00 UTC is a market date from the contract data and is not an announced event time [1]. Contract resolution depends on the game's touchdown results and the rules above, not on the price snapshot.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-30 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes result mean in a player market?
A player's market resolves to Yes if that player scores the first Tampa Bay touchdown in the game originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 [1].
What happens if Tampa Bay scores no touchdowns?
If no Tampa Bay touchdowns are scored in the game, the No Tampa Bay Touchdown market resolves to Yes and all other player markets resolve to No [1].
How are players who do not play treated?
A listed player who is active but never takes a snap settles to the fair market price before game start. A player who takes at least one snap settles based on touchdowns scored, even if a touchdown is nullified by penalty [1].
Is the market affiliated with the league?
The provider states that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing league [1].
Does a listed price mean the event is likely?
The saved prices are snapshots from the provider and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1]. The sources do not explain why the nine player and team-position markets showed the same Yes price in the saved data [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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