Market snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

"Thriller" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 14, 2026)

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"Thriller" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 14, 2026)

Vol

K 0 contracts

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Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Rank 1 to 2 at 58.5%.

Kalshi

Rank 1 to 258.5%
Rank 75 to 10049.5%
Rank 51 to 7449.5%
Rank 41 to 5049.5%
Rank 31 to 4049.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

11 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will "Thriller" rank No. 1–2 on Billboard Hot 100?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will "Thriller" rank No. 1–2 on Billboard Hot 100?	Kalshi	58.5%
Will "Thriller" rank No. 75–100 on Billboard Hot 100?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will "Thriller" rank No. 51–74 on Billboard Hot 100?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will "Thriller" rank No. 41–50 on Billboard Hot 100?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will "Thriller" rank No. 31–40 on Billboard Hot 100?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will "Thriller" rank No. 21–30 on Billboard Hot 100?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will "Thriller" rank No. 16–20 on Billboard Hot 100?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will "Thriller" rank No. 11–15 on Billboard Hot 100?	Kalshi	49.5%
Will "Thriller" rank No. 3–4 on Billboard Hot 100?	Kalshi	45.5%
Will "Thriller" rank No. 7–10 on Billboard Hot 100?	Kalshi	25.0%
Will "Thriller" rank No. 5–6 on Billboard Hot 100?	Kalshi	25.0%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

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AI Analysis

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K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

Thriller | Nov 14, 2026 If "Thriller" by Michael Jackson ranks between No. X and No. Y inclusive, on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Billboard. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early following publication of the specified official Billboard Hot 100 chart, in accordance with the contract terms.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: "Thriller" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 14, 2026)
Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 11 of 11 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will "Thriller" rank No. 7–10 on Billboard Hot 100?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBBSINGLE-26NOV14THR-7T10; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbbsingle-26nov14thr
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 25.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 75.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If "Thriller" by Michael Jackson ranks between No. 7 and No. 10, inclusive, on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Billboard. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early following publication of the specified official Billboard Hot 100 chart, in accordance with the contract terms.

Contract: Will "Thriller" rank No. 75–100 on Billboard Hot 100?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBBSINGLE-26NOV14THR-75T100; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbbsingle-26nov14thr
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If "Thriller" by Michael Jackson ranks between No. 75 and No. 100, inclusive, on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Billboard. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early following publication of the specified official Billboard Hot 100 chart, in accordance with the contract terms.

Contract: Will "Thriller" rank No. 5–6 on Billboard Hot 100?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBBSINGLE-26NOV14THR-5T6; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbbsingle-26nov14thr
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 25.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 75.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If "Thriller" by Michael Jackson ranks between No. 5 and No. 6, inclusive, on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Billboard. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early following publication of the specified official Billboard Hot 100 chart, in accordance with the contract terms.

Contract: Will "Thriller" rank No. 51–74 on Billboard Hot 100?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBBSINGLE-26NOV14THR-51T74; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbbsingle-26nov14thr
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If "Thriller" by Michael Jackson ranks between No. 51 and No. 74, inclusive, on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Billboard. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early following publication of the specified official Billboard Hot 100 chart, in accordance with the contract terms.

Contract: Will "Thriller" rank No. 41–50 on Billboard Hot 100?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBBSINGLE-26NOV14THR-41T50; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbbsingle-26nov14thr
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If "Thriller" by Michael Jackson ranks between No. 41 and No. 50, inclusive, on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Billboard. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early following publication of the specified official Billboard Hot 100 chart, in accordance with the contract terms.

Contract: Will "Thriller" rank No. 3–4 on Billboard Hot 100?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBBSINGLE-26NOV14THR-3T4; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbbsingle-26nov14thr
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 45.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 54.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If "Thriller" by Michael Jackson ranks between No. 3 and No. 4, inclusive, on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Billboard. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early following publication of the specified official Billboard Hot 100 chart, in accordance with the contract terms.

Contract: Will "Thriller" rank No. 31–40 on Billboard Hot 100?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBBSINGLE-26NOV14THR-31T40; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbbsingle-26nov14thr
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If "Thriller" by Michael Jackson ranks between No. 31 and No. 40, inclusive, on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Billboard. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early following publication of the specified official Billboard Hot 100 chart, in accordance with the contract terms.

Contract: Will "Thriller" rank No. 21–30 on Billboard Hot 100?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBBSINGLE-26NOV14THR-21T30; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbbsingle-26nov14thr
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If "Thriller" by Michael Jackson ranks between No. 21 and No. 30, inclusive, on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Billboard. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early following publication of the specified official Billboard Hot 100 chart, in accordance with the contract terms.

Contract: Will "Thriller" rank No. 1–2 on Billboard Hot 100?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBBSINGLE-26NOV14THR-1T2; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbbsingle-26nov14thr
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 58.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 41.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If "Thriller" by Michael Jackson ranks between No. 1 and No. 2, inclusive, on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Billboard. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early following publication of the specified official Billboard Hot 100 chart, in accordance with the contract terms.

Contract: Will "Thriller" rank No. 16–20 on Billboard Hot 100?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBBSINGLE-26NOV14THR-16T20; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbbsingle-26nov14thr
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If "Thriller" by Michael Jackson ranks between No. 16 and No. 20, inclusive, on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Billboard. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early following publication of the specified official Billboard Hot 100 chart, in accordance with the contract terms.

Contract: Will "Thriller" rank No. 11–15 on Billboard Hot 100?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXBBSINGLE-26NOV14THR-11T15; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbbsingle-26nov14thr
Observed: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Nov 14, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 49.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If "Thriller" by Michael Jackson ranks between No. 11 and No. 15, inclusive, on the Billboard Hot 100 for the chart dated Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Billboard. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early following publication of the specified official Billboard Hot 100 chart, in accordance with the contract terms.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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KALSHIEntertainment