Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
PM $0
1
1
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-29T09:00:06.215Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single-event market titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET" on Polymarket [1]. The rules say it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-29T13:45:00.000Z [1]. That end time is the contract's listed close, not the moment of actual resolution, and this record does not report a resolution outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The saved record shows two outcomes, "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices from the provider's observation at 2026-10-29T09:00:06.215Z. The source was retrieved at 2026-10-29T09:50:32.093Z, so the prices describe the market at the observation time, not necessarily at the time you read this [1]. The record's status is "active" [1].
The sample is one market from one event. Coverage reports one total market, one included, and no partial sample [1]. The saved set therefore contains only this contract, and the sample warning notes that including all saved markets "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Because both outcomes are priced equally in this snapshot, the record does not show a lean in either direction.
Prices here are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The supplied evidence does not include volume, bid and ask depth, or trader counts, so it cannot speak to liquidity.
What remains uncertain
The record does not explain why the prices are equal, and it does not include any later price movement. It also does not contain a resolution result. Comparing this contract with a differently worded Dogecoin or other crypto market would require reading each contract's own rules, because a different reference price, averaging method, data source, or close time would make the outcomes non-equivalent. Differing prices across such contracts would not by themselves indicate an arbitrage opportunity.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-29T09:00:06.215Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 29, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term price direction contract on Dogecoin, listed on Polymarket under the title "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET" [1]. The contract covers a 15-minute window stated in its title, and its listed end time is 2026-10-29T13:45:00Z [1]. Its category is crypto, and the saved provider status at capture was active [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The price comparison is therefore between an average over the window and the starting price, not between the price at the close and the price at the open. The resolution source is Chainlink's DOGE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the Chainlink data stream for the DOGE/USD pair and not other sources or spot markets [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a price chart from a different exchange should expect that the two may not match, because the rules point to one specific data stream. The saved snapshot recorded both outcomes at 0.5 [1]. That observation was taken at 2026-10-29T09:00:06Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-29T09:50:32Z [1]. These are historical capture times. They do not show the market's price at any later moment, and a price of 0.5 in a snapshot is not an executable quote or a verified probability.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the Dogecoin price, as calculated by the Chainlink TWAP stream over a specified 15-minute window, finishes at or above its starting level for that window [1]. Because it uses a time-weighted average rather than a single trade price, the result depends on prices across the whole interval. The contract is tied to one data stream, so the resolution follows that stream's calculation and not a broader set of exchanges [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-29 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as an "Up" resolution?
The market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of Dogecoin over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price feed decides the outcome?
The resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules say other sources or spot markets are not the basis for resolution [1].
When does the contract close?
The listed end time in the provider record is 2026-10-29T13:45:00Z [1].
Does the 0.5 price in the saved snapshot show the current odds?
No. The saved snapshot shows Up and Down at 0.5 when observed at 2026-10-29T09:00:06Z [1]. Prices are snapshots and do not establish current odds or an executable quote.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
PM $0Dogecoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
PM $0
ZCash Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
PM $0
XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.