Rutgers vs Oregon
K 0 contracts
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 0 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
2
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
About This Event
RUTG vs ORE (Oct 18) If X wins the Rutgers vs Oregon women's college volleyball match originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 2 days of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 2 days of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The Kalshi event "Rutgers vs Oregon" covers a women's college volleyball match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. The rules state that "If X wins the Rutgers vs Oregon women's college volleyball match originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes" [1]. The saved event includes two separate markets, one for "Oregon wins" and one for "Rutgers wins," each with Yes and No outcomes.
The postponement terms differ from a simple win-or-lose rule. If the game is postponed but begins within 2 days of its originally scheduled start, the market stays open and resolves on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 2 days, the market "will resolve to a fair price" [1]. The excerpt does not define "fair price," so readers should check the full contract before relying on that outcome.
The listed end date for both markets is 2026-10-20T20:00:00.000Z, but the source records the event's listed end time as "not supplied." The rules also say the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. A listed end date is therefore not the same as the actual resolution time.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the prices at 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-17T00:19:47.633Z. These are historical records, not live quotes. The saved Yes prices were 0.495 for "Oregon wins" and 0.49 for "Rutgers wins" [1]. Each market's Yes and No prices sum to 1.00 in this snapshot.
These are two separate contracts, so the small gap between them describes only the two saved snapshot prices. It is not an arbitrage opportunity, and the prices should not be combined into a single figure. The snapshot does not include volume, order book depth, or trader counts, so it says nothing about liquidity or how many people hold each view.
The coverage record shows two markets for this event, both included, with no partial sample flagged. The source notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. For a two-team match, the saved markets cover the two named results, but the record does not show whether other contracts exist elsewhere.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stood where they did, and it contains no news about the match, team status, or weather. It does not confirm whether the game was played on schedule, postponed, or cancelled. The provider status is "active," but this describes the saved record only [1]. Because the observation is from October 16, 2026, the prices may not reflect current conditions, and the excerpt does not show any later price data.
References
- Kalshi: Rutgers vs Oregon. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T21:00:06.041Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Kalshi event tied to a women's college volleyball match between Rutgers and Oregon. The contract rules describe a match originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT. Under those rules, if the named team wins the match, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The saved event contains two markets: one titled "Oregon wins" and one titled "Rutgers wins." Both are listed as active in the saved snapshot [1]. The saved prices were observed at 2026-10-16 21:00 UTC. At that observation, the Oregon wins Yes outcome was priced at 0.495 and the Rutgers wins Yes outcome at 0.49 [1]. These figures are snapshots from one moment. They are not executable quotes, they are not verified probabilities, and they do not show how the markets have moved since then. The Yes and No prices within each market are also snapshot values, and the trading volume behind them is not reported here. The contract lists an end date of 2026-10-20 20:00 UTC. That date is a field in the market data. It is not an announced date for the match or for any event, and the listed end time for the overall event is not supplied in the saved record [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single outcome: which team wins the scheduled women's college volleyball match between Rutgers and Oregon [1]. Because the two markets are tied to the same match, each one reflects a different side of that single result. The rules also explain how the market treats three situations. If the match is postponed but begins within two days of its originally scheduled start, the market stays open and resolves based on the official final result. If the match is cancelled or does not start within two days of its originally scheduled start, the market resolves to a fair price. The market also closes and expires early if the event occurs [1]. Anyone reading these prices should keep in mind that the rules, not the snapshot price, determine how the contract settles.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What event does this contract cover?
The contract covers the women's college volleyball match between Rutgers and Oregon that was originally scheduled for October 18, 2026 at 4:00 PM EDT [1].
What happens if the match is postponed?
If the game is postponed but begins within 2 days of its originally scheduled start time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official final result [1].
What happens if the match is cancelled?
If the game is cancelled or does not start within 2 days of its originally scheduled start, the market resolves to a fair price [1].
Is Kalshi affiliated with the NCAA?
No. The contract rules state that Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
