BNB Up or Down - November 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
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BNB Up or Down - November 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BNB/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/bnb-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T12:00:06.470Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Polymarket contract, "BNB Up or Down - November 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET" [1]. The rules say the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is Chainlink's BNB/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair BNB/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with another BNB market should check whether that market uses the same data source, averaging method, and time window.
The listed end time is 2026-11-02T10:15:00.000Z [1]. That is the provider's listed close time for this contract. It is not confirmation of how or when the contract will resolve.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this contract at 2026-11-01T12:00:06.470Z, and this application retrieved the saved record at 2026-11-01T13:11:41.440Z [1]. These are snapshot times. They do not show the price now, and they should not be read as live quotes.
The saved prices are Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are the recorded snapshot prices for the two outcomes. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The sample includes one market, with no partial sample flag, so no other outcome for this event is omitted from the record [1]. The two prices sum to 1.00 in this snapshot, and the difference between them is small.
Volume is not included in this view, so this snapshot does not show liquidity or how many traders hold each position.
What remains uncertain
The saved evidence does not explain why the prices were at these levels at the observation time. It also does not show any later movement.
The provider status was recorded as active at retrieval [1]. The evidence does not show whether the contract's status or prices changed after that point.
The contract's resolution depends on the Chainlink TWAP and the price at the start of the stated range. This snapshot does not show those values, so the outcome cannot be determined from the supplied material.
References
- Polymarket: BNB Up or Down - November 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T12:00:06.470Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term crypto price contract on Polymarket titled "BNB Up or Down - November 2, 5:00 AM to 5:15 AM ET" [1]. It asks whether the price of BNB during a fifteen-minute window will finish at or above where it started. The source states that the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of BNB over that window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the window, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The contract does not look at the spot price at the close or at any single moment. It uses a TWAP, which averages the price across the window. The source specifies that the resolution data is the BNB/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink, not any other feed or spot market [1]. Traders therefore need to understand how that particular data stream is calculated, not just where BNB trades at a given time. The listed end time is 2026-11-02 10:15 UTC, which corresponds to 5:15 AM ET on November 2 [1]. The provider record was observed at 12:00 UTC on November 1, 2026, and retrieved at 13:11 UTC the same day. Those times describe when the information was captured. They do not mean the window has passed or that a result has been recorded. The contract end time is a rule of the market, not a report that the event has happened. At the observation point, the saved market showed Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices from one provider record. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities of either outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether BNB's average price over a fifteen-minute window is at or above its starting level, as recorded by a specified Chainlink TWAP stream [1]. Because it uses an average rather than a single point, the outcome depends on the path of the price during the window as well as the start and end levels. The rules also state that only this data stream counts, so movements on other exchanges or spot markets are not part of the resolution [1]. Anyone using the price as information should keep in mind that a single snapshot reflects one moment of trading and is not a settled forecast.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does an Up result require?
Up requires the TWAP of BNB over the stated window to be greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window, according to the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream [1].
Which price data decides the market?
The rules specify the Chainlink BNB/USD TWAP data stream and state that other sources or spot markets do not determine the outcome [1].
Does the listed price show the chance that BNB goes up?
The saved prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 at the time of the provider observation [1]. These are snapshots of the contract price, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.