VfL Wolfsburg vs. Holstein Kiel - Halftime Result
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VfL Wolfsburg vs. Holstein Kiel - Halftime Result
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is VfL Wolfsburg at 46%.
Polymarket
- VfL Wolfsburg46%
- Draw34.5%
- Holstein Kiel19%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
In the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game between VfL Wolfsburg and Holstein Kiel, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-11T06:00:06.327Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers the Polymarket event "VfL Wolfsburg vs. Holstein Kiel - Halftime Result" [1]. The source describes the markets as "halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time" [1]. Three binary contracts are saved: Wolfsburg leading at halftime, Holstein Kiel leading at halftime, and a draw at halftime. Each lists an end time of 2026-11-21T12:00:00.000Z [1]. The source also says the match was "originally scheduled for Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET," with that wording tied to the time the first market was created [1]. Because a date in the rules is not a confirmed event schedule, readers should rely on the contract rules and listed end time rather than the scheduling phrase.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-11-11T06:00:06.327Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-11-11T06:58:26.522Z [1]. These are times for a saved snapshot, not a live feed. In that snapshot, the Wolfsburg-leading and Kiel-leading contracts each show a Yes price of 0.47 and a No price of 0.53. The draw contract shows Yes at 0.425 and No at 0.575 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Each contract asks a separate question, so the three Yes prices should not be averaged or added into a single figure. The evidence does not include volume, and volume would not indicate liquidity or the number of traders in any case.
The sample includes all three saved markets for this event, and partialSample is false [1]. The source adds that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Within this saved event, nothing is omitted, but readers should not infer anything about outcomes outside the saved set.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are where they are, and it contains no team news, lineup information, or market history. It also provides no basis for judging how accurately prices like these have matched past results. The provider status is listed as "active," but the snapshot cannot show whether that has changed since 06:00 UTC on 2026-11-11. Resolution depends on the halftime result within the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time, as the rules describe [1]. The listed end time marks the close of the contract, not the match result. Only one platform appears in this evidence, so differences in wording or close times across platforms cannot be assessed.
References
- Polymarket: VfL Wolfsburg vs. Holstein Kiel - Halftime Result. Provider data observed 2026-11-11T06:00:06.327Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 11, 2026 UTCOverview
This article explains a set of halftime result contracts listed on Polymarket for the 2. Bundesliga match between VfL Wolfsburg and Holstein Kiel. The provider event is titled "VfL Wolfsburg vs. Holstein Kiel - Halftime Result" and describes the match as an upcoming game originally scheduled for Saturday, November 21, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET [1]. The provider event is active and lists an end time of 2026-11-21T12:00:00.000Z [1]. The event contains halftime result markets covering home, draw, and away outcomes. Each market is scoped to the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time [1]. Under this structure, a match that is level or led by one side after that window determines the result of the relevant contract, while later goals do not count toward these particular markets [1]. The saved event includes three markets. One asks whether VfL Wolfsburg will lead at halftime, one asks whether Holstein Kiel will lead at halftime, and one asks whether the first half will end in a draw [1]. Each market is a separate Yes or No contract with its own price. In the saved snapshot, the Yes price for Wolfsburg leading at halftime was 0.47, the Yes price for Kiel leading at halftime was 0.47, and the Yes price for a halftime draw was 0.425 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. Because the three contracts are separate instruments, their Yes prices do not need to add up to one, and a difference between them should not be read as an opportunity on its own. The volume and liquidity figures for these markets are not part of this explanation. Trading volume does not show how many people took part or how easily a position could be entered or exited.
Why It Matters
The contracts measure the score at halftime rather than the final result of the match. The first market resolves on whether VfL Wolfsburg leads at the end of the first half, the second on whether Holstein Kiel leads, and the third on whether the score is level [1]. Because the window includes stoppage time in the first half, the resolution depends on the score at the close of that period as defined by the provider's rules [1]. Anyone reading the prices should keep in mind that they describe these specific halftime outcomes only, and that the event's own sample notes state that the listed markets do not establish every possible real-world outcome [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-11 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does the halftime draw market measure?
It asks whether the teams will be level after the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The provider describes the markets as covering home, draw, and away outcomes within that window [1].
Do goals scored after halftime affect these contracts?
The markets are limited to the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, so the provider's rules define the window as the first half rather than the full match [1].
Why do the Yes prices not add up to one?
Each market is a separate Yes or No contract with its own snapshot price. The saved Yes prices were 0.47 for Wolfsburg leading, 0.47 for Kiel leading, and 0.425 for a halftime draw [1]. These are not verified probabilities, so the sum of the prices should not be interpreted as a complete probability distribution.
When were these prices recorded?
The prices come from a saved provider snapshot observed at 2026-11-11T06:00:06.327Z and retrieved at 2026-11-11T06:58:26.525Z [1]. They describe that moment and should not be treated as current prices.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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