ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket contract, titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET," covers a five-minute window [1]. According to the saved rules, it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules name the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream as the resolution source and state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. Because the wording is specific, a reader should not assume the contract tracks exchange spot prices or other ZCash price feeds.
The listed end time is 2026-10-16T14:40:00.000Z [1]. The window in the title is stated in Eastern Time, so the title and the listed end time should be read together. The end time is a listed close, not a confirmed resolution, and the evidence does not show a resolved outcome.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z and retrieved at 2026-10-15T17:23:12.546Z [1]. The provider status was recorded as active at capture [1]. These are different times, and the observation time is the basis for the prices shown.
The single saved outcome prices were 0.5 for "Up" and 0.5 for "Down" [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence contains no order book depth, bid or ask data, or volume figures, so it does not show how easily either side could be traded.
The coverage record lists one market for this event, with one included and partialSample set to false [1]. The sample therefore contains the only saved market for this event. That does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome. This contract also should not be compared with differently worded markets from other platforms, since their rules may use different sources or windows.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are both 0.5 or how they may change before the listed close. It also does not say how many participants hold either position. The snapshot was observed about 70 minutes before retrieval, so it describes that earlier observation and should not be read as a current price. Before interpreting any eventual outcome, readers should check the Chainlink stream rules and the listed end time directly.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term price contract on the ZCash (ZEC) price against the US dollar, listed on Polymarket under the title "ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET" [1]. The contract covers a five-minute window. Its rules say it will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over that window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of the window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is named in the rules as information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink TWAP data stream for the ZEC/USD pair, and not any other sources or spot markets [1]. This means a trader reading the contract needs to look at that specific data stream, since prices on other exchanges or data feeds are not the reference. The listed end time for the contract is 2026-10-16T14:40:00.000Z [1]. The title's Eastern Time window and the listed end time are two ways of describing the same closing point, but the listed end time is the timestamp the provider gives for the contract. The contract's closing time, the moment the Chainlink data is read for resolution, and the date the outcome is finally settled are separate events, and the rules do not describe settlement timing beyond the listed end time [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the ZEC/USD price, as averaged over the stated five-minute window using Chainlink's TWAP stream, finishes at or above where it started [1]. Because the comparison uses an average over the window rather than a single price at the end, a brief spike or drop near the close does not by itself decide the result. The contract therefore reflects a direction over a short interval rather than a broader view of ZCash. The rules also make the reference explicit. Outcomes are tied to one named data feed, so the contract is best read as a claim about that feed's figures, not about the price of ZCash everywhere it trades [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of ZCash over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
Which price source does the contract use?
The stated resolution source is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream. The rules say the market is about that data stream and not other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract end?
The listed end time given by the provider is 2026-10-16T14:40:00.000Z, which corresponds to the 10:40 AM Eastern end of the window in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
