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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET

Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
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Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.

Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T06:00:05.830Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This contract is a single Polymarket event titled "Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET" [1]. According to the saved rules, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range" [1]. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1].

The resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream. The rules state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a spot price or another contract should check the reference source first, because the wording and source can differ.

The saved listed end time is 2026-11-02T05:10:00.000Z [1]. This is a close time stated in the contract data. It does not show that the contract has resolved.

Reading the snapshot

The saved snapshot lists the Up outcome at 0.5 and the Down outcome at 0.5 [1]. These prices come from an observation recorded at 2026-11-01T06:00:05.830Z and retrieved at 2026-11-01T08:13:59.550Z [1]. They describe that saved moment only and are not live quotes. The provider status was recorded as active [1]. A snapshot is not an executable quote, and it is not a verified probability.

The sample covers one market from one platform. The coverage record shows 1 total market, 1 included market, and partialSample set to false [1]. Because no other platform's listing for this event is in the evidence, no cross-platform comparison is possible, and no price from another venue should be averaged with these figures.

The snapshot does not include a liquidity measure, so it says nothing about market depth or the number of traders.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why the prices are at 0.5, and it reports no news or events affecting the market. It also does not provide the TWAP value, the starting price for the range, or any price path during the window. Whether the contract will resolve Up or Down cannot be determined from this record. The saved sources describe only how resolution is defined [1].

Because the snapshot reflects the observation time above, readers who need the current state should check the provider directly. The sample warning confirms only that all saved markets for this event are included. It does not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1].

References

  1. Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T06:00:05.830Z.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Overview

This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window Dogecoin contract listed on Polymarket. The title, "Dogecoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET", indicates a five-minute window on the morning of November 2 in Eastern Time. The contract is binary, with "Up" and "Down" as its outcomes [1]. The contract's rules state that it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules name a specific resolution source, the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and say the market concerns that stream only, not other sources or spot markets [1]. A contract's outcome therefore depends on how that averaged data compares with the starting price, not on the last trade on any exchange. The saved record lists the end time as 2026-11-02T05:10:00.000Z, which corresponds to the close of the Eastern Time window in the title [1]. The record was observed at 06:00 UTC on November 1, 2026, and it lists the provider status as active [1]. That status describes the saved record at the time of retrieval. The record does not show a final resolution for the contract.

Why It Matters

The contract measures the direction of Dogecoin's price over a very short, fixed window, as defined by a single data stream. Because it compares a time-weighted average over the window with the price at the window's start, the result can differ from a simple comparison of the price at the start and end of the window. The rules also limit the outcome to one named Chainlink feed, so a reader needs to know that feed to understand how the contract will be decided [1]. The saved record includes two outcomes, Up and Down, for this single contract [1].

Snapshot context

The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-01 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]

Frequently Asked Questions

What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?

The contract resolves Up if the time-weighted average price of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves Down [1].

Does the contract use exchange prices or other data sources?

No. The rules say the market is about the price according to the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, not according to any other sources or spot markets [1].

When does the contract's listed window end?

The saved record lists the end time as 2026-11-02T05:10:00.000Z [1]. The title describes the window as 12:05AM to 12:10AM ET on November 2 [1].

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Saved Nov 1, 2026 UTC

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

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