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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETFinance

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 4?

Name: WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 4?
End: 2026-05-04T21:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$11.80

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 4?

Vol

$11.80

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $11.80

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $11.80

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

11 markets tracked

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 4?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 4?	Poly	65%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 4?	Poly	58%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 4?	Poly	50%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 4?	Poly	50%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on May 4?	Poly	49%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 4?	Poly	45%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 4?	Poly	41%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 4?	Poly	36%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 4?	Poly	32%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $108 on May 4?	Poly	24%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 4?	Poly	21%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

65%

Top Probability

$11.80

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 4?

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 4?
**Category:** Finance | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 4, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on May 4?

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures (WTI) on May 4, 2026, is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-min"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $12
* **Total Liquidity:** $3.3K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $109 on May 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $108 on May 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on May 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 65.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $107 on May 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $106 on May 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 45.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 55.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $4
  DATA: [Yes: 49.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 4?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETFinance