ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract is titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that the market is not based on "any other sources or spot markets" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-16T12:00:00.000Z [1]. The title uses Eastern Time, while the listed end time is in UTC, so readers comparing the two should check the conversion for themselves.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z and retrieved at 2026-10-15T18:21:25.314Z [1]. It is a historical record from earlier on October 15, 2026 (UTC). It does not show prices as of the time you are reading this, and the provider listed the market as active when it was saved [1].
The saved market shows two outcomes, "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities. Volume and the number of participants are not part of this snapshot, so they cannot be inferred from it.
Coverage is complete for this saved event. One market was saved, one was included, and the sample is not partial [1]. The provider's warning says this does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed [1]. Because this is a single binary market, there is no other contract in the sample to compare against. Any comparison with another platform or another time window would need to match the rules, resolution source, and listed close time before the prices could be treated as comparable.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices are equal, whether traders agree, or how the market may change before its listed close. It also does not show the actual TWAP values or the resolution outcome. A later check of the resolution source would be needed to know how the contract settled.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-15T16:13:13.851Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 15, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term price contract on ZCash, the cryptocurrency, listed on Polymarket under the title "ZCash Up or Down - October 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET." [1] It is a binary market with two outcomes, "Up" and "Down." [1] The contract covers a five-minute window, 7:55 to 8:00 AM Eastern Time on October 16, and asks whether the price moves up or down across that window. [1] The resolution rule compares two values. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down." [1] The source named for resolution is Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, which is generated by Chainlink. [1] The rules state that only this data stream counts, not other sources or spot markets. [1] A contract priced in one way on one platform therefore depends on this specific feed rather than on general price reports. Timing matters for reading the contract. The source record was observed at 2026-10-15T16:13:13Z and retrieved at 2026-10-15T18:21:25Z. [1] The listed end time is 2026-10-16T12:00:00Z, which corresponds to the close of the stated window. [1] Those times describe when the information was gathered and when the contract is scheduled to close. They do not show that the market has closed or resolved, and the provider status recorded in the source is active. [1]
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether ZCash's time-weighted average price over a five-minute window finishes at or above the price at the window's start, as reported by one specific Chainlink data stream. [1] Because it uses a time-weighted average rather than a single trade price, the result reflects the average level across the window compared with the opening level. [1] Anyone reading the market should treat the contract rules as the defining terms: the outcome depends on the named Chainlink feed for the ZEC/USD pair, and not on other exchanges or spot prices. [1]
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-15 at 16:13 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What decides whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The market resolves Up if the TWAP of ZCash over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and Down otherwise. [1]
Which price source is used for resolution?
The resolution source is Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules say the market is not based on other sources or spot markets. [1]
What time window does the contract cover?
The title specifies 7:55 AM to 8:00 AM ET on October 16, and the listed end time in the source is 2026-10-16T12:00:00Z. [1]
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
