Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET" [1]. According to the saved rules, it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-28T21:55:00.000Z [1]. That is the contract's listed close, not a confirmed resolution time, and the saved evidence does not show how or when the contract was settled.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-28T04:12:44.348Z [1]. The prices below describe the market at the observation time only. They do not show the current price.
At that observation, the saved outcomes were "Up" at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The gap between them is small, and the evidence does not explain it. The evidence also contains no volume or trader count, so it cannot indicate how deep the market is or how many participants are involved.
The sample covers one saved market from one event, with no partial sampling [1]. Because only one contract is included, there is no comparison with other contracts or platforms here.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the price at any time after 03:00 UTC, the TWAP value that will be used for resolution, or the price at the start of the window. The rules define the comparison against the beginning price of the range, but the saved evidence does not report that value.
The provider lists the event as active, but this status also reflects the saved snapshot [1]. Readers should check the provider page and the Chainlink data stream directly for current status and any settlement details. The sample warning notes that the listed outcomes do not establish the full set of possible outcomes [1]. For this binary market, the saved data includes both "Up" and "Down," but the evidence does not explain the reasons behind any price movement.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-28T03:00:06.402Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 28, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-duration crypto contract from Polymarket titled "Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET." It asks whether the price of Solana, measured in US dollars, will finish the stated five-minute window higher or lower than it started. The contract's rules say it resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana over the window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The measurement is an average over the window, not the price at its final moment. That means a brief spike or dip near the end of the window does not by itself decide the outcome. The comparison is between the averaged price across the window and the starting price [1]. The rules name a specific data source. Resolution relies on information from Chainlink, specifically its SOL/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second configuration [1]. The rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink stream for the SOL/USD pair, and not any other sources or spot markets [1]. Prices on other exchanges or in other data feeds therefore do not determine the result under these rules. The saved record shows the event as active at the time it was observed, with a listed end time of 2026-10-28T21:55:00Z [1]. The title expresses the window in Eastern Time, while the end time is given in UTC, so readers should check both when comparing them. The title's window and the listed end time describe the contract's schedule. They do not indicate that any outcome has been reached.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether the average Chainlink SOL/USD price over a five-minute window ends at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Its usefulness depends on the specific rules: it uses an average rather than a single print, and it names one data stream as the reference [1]. Anyone reading a price for this contract should understand that the figure reflects the contract's own rule set, not a general view of Solana's market price across venues.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-28 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
How is the winning outcome decided?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the TWAP of Solana over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Which price feed determines the result?
The rules specify the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream, and state that the market concerns that stream rather than other sources or spot markets [1].
Does a price on another exchange affect this contract?
According to the rules, the contract is about the Chainlink data stream and not about other sources or spot markets, so other exchange prices are not the reference under these terms [1].
When does the contract end?
The saved event lists an end time of 2026-10-28T21:55:00Z, and the title gives the window as 5:50PM to 5:55PM ET [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.