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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

Name: Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
End: 2026-05-03T21:00:00.000Z

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$0.00

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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

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20 markets tracked

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

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Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	Poly	78%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner	Poly	75%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner	Poly	74%
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	53%
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	53%
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	52%
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	52%
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	52%
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	51%
Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	50%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	21%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	21%
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	18%
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	18%
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	17%
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	17%
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	9%
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	9%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

78%

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$0.00

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About This Event

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and Zero Tenacity in the 1win Essence Group B, initially scheduled for May 3 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Zero Tenacity. This market will resolve to "Zero Tenacity" if Zero Tenacity win the match against Nigma Galaxy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this marke

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 3, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and Zero Tenacity in the 1win Essence Group B, initially scheduled for May 3 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win the match against Zero Tenacity.

This market will resolve to "Zero Tenacity" if Zero Tenacity win the match against Nigma Galaxy.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this marke

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Nigma Galaxy and Zero Tenacity in the 1win Essence Group B, initially scheduled for May 3 at 11:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy wins 2 or more games than Zero Tenacity in this match.

Otherwise, this market will reso"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $11.5K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Game Handicap: NGX (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Nigma Galaxy: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Zero Tenacity: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Nigma Galaxy: 78.0% (0.0%)] | [Zero Tenacity: 22.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Nigma Galaxy: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [Zero Tenacity: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Nigma Galaxy: 74.0% (0.0%)] | [Zero Tenacity: 26.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 82.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 3, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

Volume$0.00

Markets20

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POLYMARKET

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 3. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items. This market will resolve to "Yes

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.5¢No 47.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 3. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 3. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

This market is about whether Game 1 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). T

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

This market is about whether Game 2 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). T

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

This market is about whether Game 3 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). T

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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

Markets (20)

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

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Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Ends in Daytime?

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