Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6 Playoffs
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Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6 Playoffs
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
11
Saved contracts
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 10, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 3 match between Inner Circle Esports and Betclic Apogee Esports in the Stake Ranked Episode 6 Playoffs, initially scheduled for November 17, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Inner Circle Esports" if Inner Circle Esports win the match against Betclic Apogee Esports. This market will resolve to "Betclic Apogee Esports" if Betclic Apogee Esports win the match against Inner Circle Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before December 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of November 17, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-11-07T12:00:06.749Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The main market covers the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 3 match between Inner Circle Esports and Betclic Apogee Esports in the Stake Ranked Episode 6 Playoffs. It "will resolve to "Inner Circle Esports" if Inner Circle Esports win the match," and to "Betclic Apogee Esports" if Betclic Apogee Esports win [1]. A cancelled or tied match resolves 50-50 [1].
The rules also address postponement. A postponed match must be rescheduled "to a start time on or before December 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET" [1]. This date is a rule deadline, not an announced match time. The contract lists the original start as November 17, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET and a listed end time of November 17, 2026 at 17:00 UTC [1]. Resolution relies on official information from the HLTV website, with a consensus of credible reporting possible if final results are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes [1].
Reading the snapshot
The match winner market shows Inner Circle Esports at 0.53 and Betclic Apogee Esports at 0.47 [1]. These are snapshot prices from the provider, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and a small gap like this should not be read as a confident forecast.
The map winner, map handicap, rounds handicap, and total rounds markets are all priced at 0.50 for each outcome in this snapshot [1]. The Map 1 and Map 2 winner markets list an end time of November 17, 2026 at 15:00 UTC, earlier than the 17:00 UTC listed for the match winner market [1]. Their prices should be compared with each other only as separate contracts, not averaged with the match market.
The Games Total "Over/Under 2.5" market shows Over at 0.27 and Under at 0.73 [1]. The different wording and outcomes mean it should not be combined with the match winner prices.
The sample includes 11 of 11 saved markets for this event, with no partial sample flagged [1]. The provider notes, however, that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Prices are shown only for the outcomes listed here.
What remains uncertain
The prices were observed at 2026-11-07T12:00:06.749Z and retrieved at 2026-11-07T17:36:48.139Z [1]. They describe that earlier snapshot only and do not show current conditions. The evidence does not explain why any price is where it is. Volume data is not included here, and it would not indicate liquidity or the number of traders. Different contracts with different prices are not an arbitrage signal without a separate analysis of their terms.
References
- Polymarket: Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Betclic Apogee Esports (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 6 Playoffs. Provider data observed 2026-11-07T12:00:06.749Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 7, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This contract concerns a Counter-Strike match between Inner Circle Esports and Betclic Apogee Esports, listed as a Best of 3 (BO3) match in the Stake Ranked Episode 6 Playoffs. The source identifies it as the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 3 match and states that it was initially scheduled for November 17, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET [1]. The contract is a binary market on the match winner. It resolves to "Inner Circle Esports" if that team wins the match, and to "Betclic Apogee Esports" if that team wins [1]. The rules also define several outcomes that do not produce a winner. If the match is canceled without being played, or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. A forfeit, disqualification, or walkover before the start also resolves 50-50 [1]. If a match begins but is not completed and one team wins because the opponent forfeits, is disqualified, or takes a walkover, the market resolves to the team that wins [1]. The contract includes a rescheduling window. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before December 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, which the source describes as 14 calendar days after the original start [1]. The source states that if the most recently announced rescheduled start time falls on or before that deadline, the market resolves on the result of the match as played. Otherwise it resolves 50-50, even if the match is later played [1]. The date in these rules is a deadline and is not an announced rescheduling. The listed end time for the contract is November 17, 2026 at 5:00 PM UTC [1]. The source also sets out name-matching rules. Recognizable abbreviations, sponsor tags, academy designations, and similar variations are treated as referring to the same team when the intended team can be clearly identified within the competition. If a name cannot be unambiguously matched, the market resolves 50-50 [1].
Why It Matters
The contract measures which of two named teams wins one specific Counter-Strike match. Its rules govern how the result is determined, including the resolution source, which the source identifies as official information from hltv.org [1]. If that site has not published final results within 2 hours after the event concludes, the source states that a consensus of credible reporting may be used, including video evidence [1]. The rules matter because the contract can settle in ways other than a simple win or loss. Cancellation, a tie, or a pre-start forfeit produces a 50-50 outcome [1]. A postponement only leads to a match-based result if the rescheduled start falls within the deadline described above [1]. Anyone reading a price for this contract should check these conditions first, because a price reflects a snapshot of the market and is not an executable quote or a verified probability.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-07 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if the match is postponed?
The match must be rescheduled to a start time on or before December 1, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. If the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before that deadline, the market resolves on the result of the match as played. Otherwise it resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is later played [1].
What happens if the match is canceled or ends in a tie?
If the match is canceled without being played, or ends in a tie, the market resolves 50-50 [1].
What is the resolution source?
The source names official information from hltv.org as the resolution source. If that site has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used, including video evidence [1].
What happens if one team forfeits?
If the match begins but is not completed and one team wins because the opponent forfeits, is disqualified, or takes a walkover, the market resolves to the team that wins. If a team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically, the market resolves 50-50 [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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