GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
PM $48.2K
1
6
GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?
PM $48.2K
1
6
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is $3.00+ at 78.5%.
Polymarket
- $3.00+78.5%
- $2.75-$3.0022%
- $2.50-$2.755%
- $2.25-$2.500.7%
- $2.00-$2.250.4%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $48.2K
Reported volume · provider units
6
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for October 31, 2026. If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The event asks about the finalized Ornn H100 Index price for October 31, 2026. The resolution source is the H100 Index chart data at Ornnai.com, and the finalized daily value shown on that chart will be used [1]. Daily data counts as finalized once the following day's data point is published [1]. If a value falls exactly on a boundary between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher bracket [1].
The event contains six separate binary markets, each covering one price bracket, from "less than $2.00" up to "at least $3.00" [1]. Two listed close times appear in the snapshot: some brackets show 2026-10-31T23:59:00.000Z and others show 2026-11-01T03:59:00.000Z [1]. The rules also state that if data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), the market resolves according to the latest data available at that time [1]. Listed close times and resolution timing are therefore separate items to check before relying on any single bracket.
Reading the snapshot
The observation time is 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-26T22:37:48.586Z [1]. These prices describe that moment only. They are not current quotes or verified probabilities.
The sample is complete for this event: all six saved markets are included, and the partial sample flag is false [1]. Within the snapshot, the Yes price for "at least $3.00" is 0.565, the "between $2.75 and $3.00" bracket is 0.315, and the "between $2.50 and $2.75" bracket is 0.11 [1]. The lower brackets are priced at 0.078, 0.0045, and 0.0015 [1]. The Yes prices across these brackets do not sum to exactly 1, so the figures should be read as individual contract snapshots rather than a complete probability distribution.
Each bracket is a separate contract with its own price. Comparing a bracket's price with another bracket's price describes the snapshot only, and the values should not be averaged or combined into a single estimate.
What remains uncertain
The snapshot does not explain why prices stood where they did, and it does not show trading activity or liquidity. The available evidence does not include the index value after the observation time, so it cannot show how these prices have changed since 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z. Readers should consult the current source and the contract's own pages before drawing conclusions about the outcome.
References
- Polymarket: GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T21:00:06.062Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a Polymarket event titled "GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?" The contract is tied to the finalized value of the Ornn H100 Index for October 31, 2026 [1]. According to the event's rules, the resolution source is Ornnai.com, specifically the H100 Index chart data on its dashboard, and the finalized daily value shown on that chart is the figure used [1]. The event is organized as a set of price ranges. Each market asks whether the index will fall within a specific bracket on October 31, 2026, such as at least $3.00, between $2.75 and $3.00, or less than $2.00 [1]. Because the brackets are mutually exclusive, the outcome of the event depends on which bracket contains the final recorded value. The saved event lists six markets, and the coverage record indicates that all six are included in the sample [1]. The Nvidia Wikipedia article describes the company as a developer of graphics processing units, which gives general background on the hardware category, but the supplied material does not establish a link between that article and this particular index [2].
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single number: the finalized daily value of the Ornn H100 Index for October 31, 2026, as displayed on Ornnai.com's chart [1]. Traders are therefore not betting on a general view of GPU markets but on where this specific published index lands on one date. The bracket structure makes the contract easy to read as a range question. The rules say that if the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher bracket [1]. The rules also set a finalization process: a daily value is considered final once the following day's data point is published, and resolution happens once the specified value is final [1]. If the figure is not final by the end of the seventh calendar day after the specified date (ET), the market resolves according to the latest data available at that time, and revisions made after finalization are not considered [1]. The price shown for each bracket is a snapshot taken at the observation time of 21:00 UTC on October 26, 2026 [1]. At that snapshot, the Yes price for the at-least-$3.00 bracket was 0.565, and the Yes price for the between-$2.75-and-$3.00 bracket was 0.315 [1]. These are snapshot prices from the listed market, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they do not show how the market will move before the contract closes. The listed end times also differ across brackets. Some markets show an end time of 2026-10-31T23:59:00Z and others show 2026-11-01T03:59:00Z [1]. The rules themselves describe resolution in terms of the finalized October 31 value, so the listed end time should be read as a market timing field rather than a date on which the index value is known.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does this contract actually measure?
It measures the finalized daily value of the Ornn H100 Index for October 31, 2026, as shown on the H100 Index chart at Ornnai.com [1].
What happens if the index value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets?
The event rules say that if the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher bracket [1].
When is the index value treated as final?
The rules state that a daily data point is considered finalized once the following day's data point is published, and that resolution occurs once the specified value is finalized [1].
What if the value is not finalized in time?
If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the seventh calendar day after the specified date (ET), the market resolves according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after finalization are not considered [1].
Do the prices shown mean the market has a verified probability for each range?
No. The prices are snapshots from the observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
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