Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
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Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract covers a single five-minute window: "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET" [1]. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin, generated by Chainlink, over that range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The resolution source is the Chainlink DOGE/USD TWAP data stream, and the source states that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair DOGE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader comparing this contract with a Dogecoin price on an exchange or another data feed should expect those figures to differ in definition, so they are not interchangeable with this rule.
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T07:00:00.000Z [1]. The title's window and the listed end time are separate fields in the evidence, and the source does not spell out a conversion between them, so readers should check that relationship directly.
Reading the snapshot
The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z and retrieved at 2026-10-26T11:29:18.467Z [1]. These are the times of the stored record. They are not a live price, and this analysis does not describe the market as it stands today. The provider reported the market as active at observation [1].
At that observation, the Up outcome was priced at 0.5 and the Down outcome at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The evidence does not include volume, order book depth, or the number of traders, so it cannot show how much liquidity sat behind those prices or how many participants held each view.
The sample covers one saved market from one provider event, with no partial sampling flag [1]. Because only this single contract is included, no comparison with other outcomes or platforms is available from this evidence.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain any movement in the price, and it contains no information about why the two outcomes sit at equal prices. It also does not include recent news, the history of similar contracts, or any indication of how this type of contract has performed. The source says the saved markets "do not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome," but this sample is limited to the outcomes shown [1].
Readers should check the provider page directly for the current status and price before relying on any figure. The resolution depends on the Chainlink TWAP calculation described above, not on the snapshot prices.
References
- Polymarket: Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a short-term price contract listed on Polymarket under the title "Dogecoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET" [1]. It asks whether the price of Dogecoin will be higher or lower over a five-minute window. According to the contract rules, the market resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Dogecoin over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that range. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1]. The price measured is not taken from any exchange or spot market in general. The rules specify the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream published by Chainlink, so only that feed determines the outcome [1]. The stated end time of the contract is 2026-10-27T07:00:00.000Z [1]. The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-10-26T09:00:06.399Z and retrieved at 2026-10-26T11:29:18.457Z [1]. In that snapshot, the contract was listed as active, and the Up and Down outcomes were each priced at 0.5 [1]. These values describe the saved provider record at the time of observation. They are not a current quote, and they do not indicate how the market has moved since then. The source excerpt does not report whether the contract has closed or resolved, so no outcome is stated here.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of Dogecoin's price over a single short window, as defined by the TWAP calculated from a named Chainlink data stream [1]. Because the comparison is between the TWAP over the window and the price at the window's start, the result depends on that specific averaging method and feed rather than on a single price printed at one moment [1]. Anyone reading the contract should check the rules for exactly which feed and window apply, since the rules state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
It resolves to Up if the time-weighted average price of Dogecoin over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to Down [1].
Which price feed is used for resolution?
The resolution source is the DOGE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules say other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When does the contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T07:00:00.000Z, according to the saved provider record [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.