GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

MacBook base model price on Black Friday

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MacBook base model price on Black Friday

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$0.00

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $750 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $750 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	95%
Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $700 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	95%
Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $650 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	75%
Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $600 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	40%
Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $550 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	20%
Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $500 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	10%
Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $450 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

95%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET If the lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com is below X on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the price data is released. This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** MacBook base model price on Black Friday
**Category:** Entertainment | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET

If the lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com is below X on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the price data is released. This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com is below $750, on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the price data is released."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $750 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $700 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $650 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 74.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 25.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $600 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 40.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 60.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $550 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $500 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $450 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?
- **Kalshi** (End: Feb 25, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment

MacBook base model price on Black Friday

Volume$0.00

Markets7

7 of 7

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KALSHI

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $750 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.0¢No 5.0¢

KALSHITech

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $750 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

If the lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com is below $750, on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

KALSHI

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $700 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHITech

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $700 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

If the lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com is below $700, on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

KALSHI

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $650 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 74.5¢No 25.5¢

KALSHITech

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $650 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

If the lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com is below $650, on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

KALSHI

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $600 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 40.0¢No 60.0¢

KALSHITech

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $600 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

If the lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com is below $600, on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

KALSHI

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $550 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 20.0¢No 80.0¢

KALSHITech

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $550 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

If the lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com is below $550, on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

48¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/NiaMqb" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="MacBook base model price on Black Friday"></iframe>

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MacBook base model price on Black Friday

MacBook base model price on Black Friday

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Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $750 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

MacBook base model price on Black Friday

Markets (7)

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $750 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $750 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $700 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $700 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $650 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $650 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $600 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $600 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $550 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $550 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $750 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

MacBook base model price on Black Friday

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $750 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $750 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $700 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $700 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $650 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $650 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $600 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $600 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $550 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

Will lowest priced of the any MacBook model on Apple.com be below $550 on November 27th, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET?

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