Name: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
End: 2026-04-14T12:00:00.000Z

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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 | PredictPedia

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.17M

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.17M

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

23 markets tracked

Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(23)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	100%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	100%
Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	100%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	100%
Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	100%
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	100%
Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	100%
Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?	Poly	94%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	92%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	Poly	52%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	Poly	50%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	50%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Poly	49%
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	49%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	47%
Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Poly	46%
Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	18%
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?	Poly	10%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	7%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?	Poly	3%
Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?	Poly	2%
Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?	Poly	2%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

Top Probability

$3.17M

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and JD Gaming in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2, initially scheduled for April 14 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against JD Gaming. This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Bilibili Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled da

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Wednesday, April 15, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Apr 14, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and JD Gaming in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2, initially scheduled for April 14 at 2:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against JD Gaming.

This market will resolve to "JD Gaming" if JD Gaming win the match against Bilibili Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled da

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and JD Gaming in the Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2, initially scheduled for April 14 at 2:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against JD Gaming.

Thi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.1K
* **Total Liquidity:** $312.0K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $101
  DATA: [Yes: 52.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.6% (0.0%)]

### 2. LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $85
  DATA: [Over: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $121
  DATA: [Yes: 6.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $86
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $101
  DATA: [Yes: 47.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.7% (0.0%)]

### 7. Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $86
  DATA: [Yes: 10.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $80
  DATA: [Over: 48.9% (0.0%)] | [Under: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game 1: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $121
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $92
  DATA: [Odd: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Even: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 2: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $86
  DATA: [Yes: 2.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.7% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $80
  DATA: [Yes: 91.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 8.3% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $101
  DATA: [Yes: 2.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.4% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $101
  DATA: [Yes: 45.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.4% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $86
  DATA: [Yes: 18.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.7% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $80
  DATA: [Odd: 93.5% (0.0%)] | [Even: 6.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 3: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $211
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $249
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $826
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 21. Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $155
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 22. Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $155
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

### 23. Game 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?
- **Polymarket** (End: Apr 14, 2026): Vol $81
  DATA: [Over: 100.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 0.1% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Volume$3.17M

Markets23

23 of 23

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POLYMARKET

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 91.6¢No 8.4¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

This market is about whether both teams slay at least one elemental dragon during Game 2. In League of Legends, elemental dragons (Infernal, Mountain, Ocean, Hextech, Chemtech, and Cloud) spawn in the dragon pit starting at 5:00 game time. After being slain, the next dragon spawns 5 minutes later. O

POLYMARKET

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 52.4¢No 47.6¢

POLYMARKETSports

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 47.3¢No 52.7¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market wi

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 45.6¢No 54.4¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 2. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 18.4¢No 81.7¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Penta Kill during Game 2. In League of Legends, a Penta Kill occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Penta Kill during Game 2. This marke

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55¢

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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

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Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?

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Events (1)

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Markets (23)

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?

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Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?

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LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Game 2: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Quadra Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?

Game 2: Any Player Penta Kill?

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