Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
PM $0
1
1
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
PM $0
1
1
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
1
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ETH/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This contract is titled "Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET" and is listed in the Crypto category [1]. The provider states that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range." Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1].
The named resolution source is the ETH/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink. The provider also says the market concerns that Chainlink price feed and not "any other sources or spot markets" [1]. Readers comparing this contract with a similarly titled market elsewhere should check whether that market uses the same data source, time window, and comparison rule, since small wording differences change what the outcome measures.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z, and the evidence was retrieved at 2026-10-31T15:56:58.032Z [1]. These are past times. The prices below describe that observation and should not be read as current.
In the saved snapshot, "Up" was priced at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. Up was therefore slightly higher than Down at observation. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T23:10:00.000Z, and the provider status was active at retrieval [1]. The title expresses the window in Eastern Time, while the listed end time is in UTC. A listed end time is not a resolution, and no actual resolution appears in the evidence.
The sample covers one market from one event, with no partial sampling. All saved markets for this event are included [1]. This is not a comparison across platforms.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include trading volume, liquidity, or the number of traders. Volume would not establish either one. It also does not explain why prices stood where they did at observation.
Whether the ETH/USD TWAP finished at or above its starting level is not recorded. Until a resolution appears in a supplied source, the outcome remains unknown. The sample reflects only the outcomes saved for this event, and it does not show that the provider lists every possible outcome. Different contracts with different wording or close times should not be treated as an arbitrage opportunity simply because their prices differ.
References
- Polymarket: Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This market is a short-interval price contract on Ethereum. Its title, "Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET", names a five-minute window. The rules say the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Ethereum over that window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the window, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The contract therefore compares an average over the window with a starting reference point, not the price at a single instant. The price measure is specific. The resolution source is Chainlink's ETH/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink stream for the ETH/USD pair, not prices from other sources or spot markets [1]. A movement on another exchange or in a different data feed does not, under these rules, determine the outcome. The listed end time is 2026-10-31T23:10:00.000Z, which corresponds to the 7:10PM ET close given in the title [1]. That end time describes when the contract is set to close. It is not evidence that the market has resolved or of what the resolved outcome is. The market's status in the supplied record is active. The supplied record was observed at 2026-10-31T09:00:05.941Z and retrieved from the provider at 2026-10-31T15:56:58.053Z [1]. Those times differ from the contract's closing time and from any actual resolution time, and the application's dated snapshot governs how current prices are presented.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether Ethereum's time-weighted average price in the Chainlink ETH/USD TWAP stream over the stated five-minute window is at or above the price at the start of that window [1]. Because it uses an average rather than a single print, the outcome depends on the path of the price across the whole window and not only its value at the close. The rules restrict the measure to that one data stream, so the contract reflects that feed's data rather than the general market price of Ethereum [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-31 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What counts as an "Up" resolution?
The market resolves to "Up" if the TWAP over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window [1].
Does a price on another exchange determine the outcome?
No. The rules state that the market is about the price in the Chainlink ETH/USD TWAP data stream and not about other sources or spot markets [1].
What is the closing time of this contract?
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T23:10:00.000Z, matching the 7:10PM ET end of the window in the title [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Related prediction markets
Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
PM $0
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
PM $0
Solana Up or Down - October 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
PM $0
BNB Up or Down - October 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
PM $0
Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
PM $0
ZCash Up or Down - October 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.