Hapoel Jerusalem vs. Hapoel Beer Sheva
PM $0
1
3
Hapoel Jerusalem vs. Hapoel Beer Sheva
PM $0
1
3
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $0
Reported volume · provider units
3
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 16, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
In the upcoming Super League (Israel) game, scheduled for October 17 at 1:15PM ET: If the Hapoel Jerusalem win, the market will resolve to "Hapoel Jerusalem". If the Hapoel Beer Sheva win, the market will resolve to "Hapoel Beer Sheva". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Polymarket event, Hapoel Jerusalem vs. Hapoel Beer Sheva, with three markets. The provider describes the game as "the upcoming Super League (Israel) game, scheduled for October 17 at 1:15PM ET" [1]. The moneyline market resolves to the winning team based on "the final score including any overtime periods" [1]. The provider also states that if the game is postponed, the market "will remain open until the game has been completed," and if it is canceled entirely with no make-up game, it "will resolve 50-50" [1].
The three markets do not share a close time. The moneyline lists an end time of 2026-10-24T17:15:00.000Z, while the spread and over/under both list 2026-10-17T17:15:00.000Z [1]. Those are listed end times, not confirmed resolution times. The excerpt does not explain how the spread or over/under is settled beyond their titles, so those rules should be read on the provider page.
Reading the snapshot
The prices were observed at 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-16T03:54:12Z [1]. They describe that moment only and may not reflect current quotes. The moneyline shows Hapoel Jerusalem at 0.89 and Hapoel Beer Sheva at 0.11. The spread market, titled "Spread: Hapoel Jerusalem (-12.5)," shows 0.535 and 0.465. The over/under 170.5 market shows Over at 0.505 and Under at 0.495 [1].
These are quoted snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. Trading volume is not included in this evidence, so nothing can be said about liquidity or how many people traded. The prices in different markets answer different questions, so they should not be combined or compared as if they described one outcome. The spread and over/under prices are close to even, while the moneyline favors Hapoel Jerusalem in this snapshot.
The sample covers all three markets saved for this event, with no partial sample flagged [1]. Even so, the provider notes that including every saved market "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Only one platform appears here, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why prices are where they are, and it contains no news, lineup information, or trader sentiment. It also does not show whether the game is still scheduled as described, whether it has been postponed, or what the prices are now. Readers should check the provider page for current prices, the official rules, and any changes to the game schedule before relying on any market.
References
- Polymarket: Hapoel Jerusalem vs. Hapoel Beer Sheva. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 16, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a match-winner contract on the Super League (Israel) game between Hapoel Jerusalem and Hapoel Be'er Sheva. The provider lists the game as scheduled for October 17 at 1:15PM ET [1]. The saved event contains three markets: a match-winner market, a spread market titled "Spread: Hapoel Jerusalem (-12.5)", and an over/under market at 170.5 [1]. The match-winner market is the main subject here. Its listed end time is 2026-10-24T17:15:00Z, which is a date in the contract data and not a confirmed time for the match [1]. Under the match-winner rules, the market resolves to Hapoel Jerusalem if Hapoel Jerusalem wins and to Hapoel Be'er Sheva if Hapoel Be'er Sheva wins. The result is determined from the final score, including any overtime periods [1]. If the game is postponed, the market stays open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50 [1]. In the saved snapshot, the match-winner market showed Hapoel Jerusalem at 0.89 and Hapoel Be'er Sheva at 0.11 [1]. The snapshot was observed at 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-10-16T03:54:12Z, so these figures describe that earlier moment and not live trading. Prices like these are not executable quotes and are not verified probabilities. The spread and over/under outcomes in the same event were priced at 0.535 and 0.465 for the spread, and 0.505 for Over and 0.495 for Under, with end dates of 2026-10-17T17:15:00Z [1].
Why It Matters
The match-winner contract measures which team wins this specific Super League fixture, using the final score including any overtime [1]. It is useful for understanding how a sports contract turns a single game into a yes or no style outcome for each team. The contract's rules also show how postponement and cancellation are handled, which matters for reading when a position could be settled. The prices in the snapshot show how the market was pricing the two outcomes at that observation time, but they do not show what the result will be.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-16 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines how the match-winner market resolves?
The market resolves based on the winner of the game, and the result is determined from the final score including any overtime periods [1].
What happens if the game is postponed?
If the game is postponed, the market remains open until the game has been completed [1].
What happens if the game is canceled?
If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the market resolves 50-50 [1].
Do the snapshot prices show the chance that a team will win?
The snapshot showed Hapoel Jerusalem at 0.89 and Hapoel Be'er Sheva at 0.11, observed at 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, so they should not be read as a confirmed chance of either result.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
