Snapshot observed 2026-10-21T21:00:05.982Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The contract is a two-outcome market on a table tennis match between Nemecek Jakub Sr and Kubos Filip in the Setka Cup Czechia Men event. It resolves to "Nemecek Jakub Sr" if that player wins, and to "Kubos Filip" if that player wins [1]. The rules also set out several special cases. If the match is canceled, ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves 50-50. A walkover also resolves 50-50. If a match begins but is not completed and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, the market resolves to the player who advances [1].

The primary resolution source is "the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers." If those statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event concludes, "a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead" [1]. The listed end time is 2026-10-28T19:00:00.000Z [1]. The rules describe the scheduled start as October 21 at 3:00PM ET [1]. Neither date tells us when the match was played or when the market will settle.

Reading the snapshot

The saved data was observed at 2026-10-21T21:00:05.982Z and retrieved for this review on 2026-10-24T19:48:30.701Z. The saved status is "active" [1]. This is a past observation, not a live quote. The record shows Nemecek Jakub Sr at 0.995 and Kubos Filip at 0.005 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.

The coverage record lists one market for one provider event, with no partial sample flagged [1]. Because only one contract is included, there is no cross-platform comparison and no competing contract to average with. The two prices come from the same binary contract and should be read together as that contract's observed pricing at that time. Volume is not included in this snapshot as a measure of liquidity or trader count.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not show whether the match was played, what the result was, or whether either 50-50 condition applied. It also does not explain why the observed prices were set. The saved record does not include any later snapshot, so it cannot establish the current price.

The sample note says all saved markets for this event are included, but that "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. For a head-to-head contract this is expected, but readers should still check the live market rules and status before drawing any conclusion. The timing gap between the observation and the review date, and the gap between the scheduled start and the listed end time, both matter for interpreting what the snapshot does and does not show.

References

1. Polymarket: Nemecek Jakub Sr vs. Kubos Filip. Provider data observed 2026-10-21T21:00:05.982Z.