Snapshot observed 2026-10-25T03:00:06.023Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This event asks whether average regular gas prices for Wyoming, according to AAA, will be strictly greater than a threshold X on October 25, 2026. If so, the market resolves to Yes [1]. The provider's rule text names that calendar date, but each included market lists an end date of 2026-11-01T14:00:00.000Z [1]. The excerpt does not explain this difference, so readers should check the provider's full rules before relying on the timing. The event's listed end time is recorded as not supplied [1].

Each included contract uses a different threshold, from $4.3800 to $4.4350, with its own Yes and No prices [1]. These are different questions, so they should be read separately rather than combined into one estimate for a single gas price.

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-25T03:00:06.023Z. The source was retrieved at 2026-10-25T04:26:39.977Z [1]. These are snapshot values, not executable quotes or verified probabilities, and they may not match current prices.

In the included sample, the Yes price is 0.985 at the $4.3900 threshold, 0.965 at $4.4000, and 0.925 at $4.4050. The Yes price falls to 0.085 at $4.4100. The included contracts from $4.4150 to $4.4350 range from 0.050 to 0.055 [1]. The largest change in this sample occurs between the $4.4050 and $4.4100 thresholds. The evidence does not explain why prices differ across thresholds.

Volume is not included in this evidence, so it cannot be used to assess liquidity.

What remains uncertain

Only 12 of 17 markets from this provider event are included, and the sample is marked as partial [1]. The selection method ranks markets by Yes price, but the five omitted markets are not shown, so their prices are unknown and should not be inferred. No other platform is included, so no cross-platform comparison is possible.

Resolution depends on the AAA figure for the relevant date and the provider's final rules, which are not supplied beyond this excerpt [1]. A difference in prices between contracts is not, on its own, an arbitrage opportunity.

References

1. Kalshi: Wyoming gas prices tomorrow. Provider data observed 2026-10-25T03:00:06.023Z.