
San Jose vs Nashville: Team Total
K 141.17 contracts
1
6
San Jose vs Nashville: Team Total

K 141.17 contracts
1
6
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 141.17 contracts
Reported volume ยท provider units
6
Saved contracts
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC
About This Event
SJ vs NSH (Oct 17) If San Jose records above X goals in the San Jose vs Nashville professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to San Jose in the San Jose vs Nashville professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties. Own goals count towards the team awarded the goal. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T12:00:05.894Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The supplied Kalshi event asks whether a single team scores more than a set number of goals in the San Jose vs Nashville MLS match. The event excerpt says the match was "originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026," and that goals are counted "after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, does not include extra time or penalties" [1]. It also states that "Own goals count towards the team awarded the goal" and that "This market will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1]. Each team has three thresholds: over 0.5, 1.5, and 2.5 goals. A "Yes" outcome resolves if the named team exceeds the threshold under these rules.
The event excerpt lists the provider status as active and the event end time as "not supplied" [1]. The six saved markets all list an end date of 2026-10-20T08:30:00.000Z, which is a contract closing time, not an announced match or resolution time.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observation time is 2026-10-17T12:00:05.894Z, and the source was retrieved at 2026-10-17T12:09:10.563Z [1]. These prices describe that snapshot only and are not live quotes or executable prices.
Within this event, the quoted Yes prices are:
- Nashville over 0.5 goals: 0.855; San Jose over 0.5 goals: 0.755
- Nashville over 1.5 goals: 0.56; San Jose over 1.5 goals: 0.395
- Nashville over 2.5 goals: 0.29; San Jose over 2.5 goals: 0.165
Each threshold's Yes and No prices sum to about 1.0. These figures are market prices, not verified probabilities. Higher Yes prices simply mean the snapshot priced that outcome more highly. The snapshot does not explain why prices were where they were.
The sample covers all six markets for this event, with no partial sample flagged [1]. Those markets are not the full real-world range of possible scores. The sample does not show whether any omitted outcome would have a lower price.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show whether the match was played, its current status, or any result. The event excerpt says the match was "originally scheduled," so the snapshot should not be read as a live assessment of the game. Volume, liquidity, and trader counts are not in the evidence, so the prices cannot be treated as depth or consensus. Other platforms' contracts may use different wording or close times, so they should not be compared directly with these prices.
References
- Kalshi: San Jose vs Nashville: Team Total. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T12:00:05.894Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCOverview
This market is a team total contract on a Major League Soccer match between San Jose and Nashville, which the provider lists as originally scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each contract asks whether one specific team will score more than a stated number of goals. The saved event includes six contracts: over 0.5, 1.5, and 2.5 goals for Nashville, and over 0.5, 1.5, and 2.5 goals for San Jose [1]. Each threshold is a separate yes or no question about the same team's goal count. The contract rules define the counting window. Goals are measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and the rules state that extra time and penalties are not included [1]. A match that goes to extra time or a penalty shootout therefore does not change the count for these contracts, at least as the rules are written in the saved provider data. The rules also state that own goals count toward the team awarded the goal, not the team that conceded it [1]. This matters when a defender's own goal is the only goal for a side, because it would count for the opponent's total. The provider's rules say that a market resolves to Yes if the named team records more than the stated number of goals in the counting window [1]. The rules also say the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. In practice, a contract can settle before the match ends if its threshold is reached early, so a Yes outcome does not need to wait for the final whistle. The saved market data lists an end date of October 20, 2026 at 08:30 UTC for each contract, but the event record does not supply a separate end time [1]. That date is a listing field in the saved data and should not be read as the scheduled match time. The prices in the saved sample are snapshots taken at a single observation time. They reflect the provider's listed prices for each Yes and No outcome at that moment, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The sample includes all six saved contracts for this event, and the provider's sample warning notes that this does not establish that every possible real-world outcome is listed.
Historical Context
Nashville SC is described as an American professional soccer club based in Nashville, Tennessee, that competes in Major League Soccer as a member of the Eastern Conference [2]. The retrieved club page says the team spent two seasons in the USL Championship before joining MLS as an expansion team, and that it plays home matches at Geodis Park [2]. The retrieved MLS season page describes the 2026 season as the 31st season of Major League Soccer, with 30 clubs divided into Eastern and Western conferences of 15 teams each [3]. These pages are general background. They do not report the result of the October 17 match or the current state of either team's season.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single team's goal output in one match, not the combined score or the winner. That makes it useful for readers who want to compare how the goal threshold questions differ between the two teams. Because the saved sample lists thresholds at 0.5, 1.5, and 2.5 for each side, a reader can see how the price for a higher threshold relates to a lower one within the same team, but these are separate contracts and should be read on their own terms [1]. The counting rules, including the exclusion of extra time and penalties and the rule that own goals count for the team awarded them, determine how a result is judged [1]. A reader should check the full rules on the provider page before drawing conclusions from any price.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does a Yes outcome mean for these contracts?
A market resolves to Yes if the named team records more than the stated number of goals in the counting window, which the rules describe as 90 minutes plus stoppage time [1].
Are extra time and penalty shootouts included?
No. The rules state that the count does not include extra time or penalties [1].
How are own goals counted?
Own goals count toward the team awarded the goal, according to the rules [1].
Can a contract close before the match ends?
Yes. The rules state that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Reviewed equivalent pairs
0
No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
