Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
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Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-26T12:00:06.088Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket event, "Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET," resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is the SOL/USD TWAP data stream. The rules state that the market is "about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-27T03:00:00.000Z [1]. This is the contract's listed close, not a record of when the market was resolved or settled, and the evidence does not say when settlement occurs.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the market at 2026-10-26T12:00:06.088Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-26T12:34:04.746Z [1]. The provider status at retrieval was "active" [1]. These are past readings and should not be treated as current conditions.
At observation, "Up" was priced at 0.505 and "Down" at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The sample covers one market with two outcomes and is not flagged as partial, so no outcomes were omitted from this saved event [1]. The evidence includes no other platform or contract, so there is no basis for comparing this price with any other market.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices were where they were. It also contains no trading volume, liquidity depth, or trader count, so the snapshot cannot be read as market consensus or as a measure of how easily a position could be traded. The source notes that counts describe the saved provider event rather than the full real-world field, and that providing all saved markets does not establish that every possible outcome is listed [1]. Because the observation came before the listed end time, the result cannot be inferred from these prices.
References
- Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-26T12:00:06.088Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 26, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window price contract on Solana, titled "Solana Up or Down - October 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET" and listed in the crypto category on Polymarket [1]. The contract asks whether Solana's price over a five-minute window will finish at or above where it started. According to the provider's rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of SOL over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the start of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink, specifically its SOL/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval [1]. The rules state that only this Chainlink data stream counts. Prices from other sources or spot exchanges do not determine the outcome [1]. Readers should therefore treat the contract as a question about one specific data feed, not about Solana's price in general. The provider lists the event as active, with a listed end time of 2026-10-27T03:00:00.000Z [1]. That timestamp is the scheduled close of the window according to the provider. It is not a report that the window has finished or that a resolution has been reached.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a narrow, rules-defined question: whether a time-weighted average of the SOL/USD Chainlink stream over a short window is at or above the starting level of that window [1]. Because the comparison uses an average across the window rather than a single closing print, the result depends on how the price moves during the interval, not only on the final value [1]. The rules make the Chainlink data stream the sole reference, so the contract is useful for understanding how a market can be settled by one oracle feed even when other price sources exist [1]. A price shown for this contract is a market snapshot. It reflects trading activity at the time it was recorded and is not an executable quote or a verified probability that Solana will rise [1]. Trading volume shown alongside such contracts measures activity, not the number of participants or the depth of the order book.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-26 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this contract resolves Up or Down?
The contract resolves Up if the time-weighted average price of SOL over the stated window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves Down [1].
Which data source is used to settle the contract?
The resolution source is the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval. The rules say that prices from other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
Does the listed end time mean the contract has already resolved?
No. The provider lists an end time of 03:00 UTC on October 27, 2026, and describes the event as active [1]. The listed time is the scheduled close of the window, not confirmation of a final result.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.