Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Event GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform2 EventsWorld

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Name: Next Prime Minister of Sweden
End: 2026-09-14T03:59:00.000Z

Reported volume

PM $10.15M · K 141.4K contracts

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Vol

PM $10.15M · K 141.4K contracts

Events

Markets

Polymarket Kalshi

Provider overview

polymarket

$10.15M

Reported lifetime volume

kalshi

141.4K contracts

Reported lifetime volume

Reviewed equivalent pairs

No eligible price comparison

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Price ChartContract price history

10 markets tracked

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Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

No data available

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Market	Polymarket	Kalshi	Diff

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Rules & Resolution

Differs

Saved matching review

Related contracts: 4 pairs

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

Review notes

Saved notes may describe earlier contract terms. Use the pair status above and current provider rules.

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 4 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Next Prime Minister of Sweden". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-09-14T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $10.15M · K 141.4K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Reviewed equivalent pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC

About This Event

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Source snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $10.15M · K 141.4K contracts
Coverage: 14 of 14 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will Ulf Kristersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSWEDENPM-26SEP13-UKRI; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxswedenpm-26sep13
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 78.9K contracts
Outcome Yes: 15.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 84.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Ulf Kristersson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).

If no government forms by Jan 1, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if a person is formally appointed and invested as Prime Minister.

Contract: Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1193093; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ulf-kristersson-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-sweden
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Sep 14, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.98M
Outcome Yes: 17.8%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 82.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Magdalena Andersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSWEDENPM-26SEP13-MAND; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxswedenpm-26sep13
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 56.2K contracts
Outcome Yes: 79.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 20.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Magdalena Andersson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).

If no government forms by Jan 1, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if a person is formally appointed and invested as Prime Minister.

Contract: Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1193094; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-magdalena-andersson-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-sweden
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Sep 14, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $2.63M
Outcome Yes: 78.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 21.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Jimmie Åkesson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSWEDENPM-26SEP13-JAKE; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxswedenpm-26sep13
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 2.0K contracts
Outcome Yes: 1.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Jimmie Åkesson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).

If no government forms by Jan 1, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if a person is formally appointed and invested as Prime Minister.

Contract: Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1193095; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-jimmie-kesson-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-sweden
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Sep 14, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.93M
Outcome Yes: 0.7%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.3%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Ebba Busch become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXSWEDENPM-26SEP13-EBUS; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxswedenpm-26sep13
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Jan 1, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 4.3K contracts
Outcome Yes: 3.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If Ebba Busch becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government).

If no government forms by Jan 1, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if a person is formally appointed and invested as Prime Minister.

Contract: Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1193096; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-ebba-busch-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-sweden
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Sep 14, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $917.7K
Outcome Yes: 2.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1193097; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-anna-karin-hatt-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-sweden
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Sep 14, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $310.4K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1193098; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-nooshi-dadgostar-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-sweden
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Sep 14, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $1.04M
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Simona Mohamsson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1193099; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-simona-mohamsson-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-sweden
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Sep 14, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $368.9K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1193100; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-amanda-lind-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-sweden
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Sep 14, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $134.7K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1193101; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-daniel-helldn-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-sweden
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Sep 14, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $338.1K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Contract: Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-1193103; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-elisabeth-thand-ringqvist-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-sweden
Observed: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC
Listed close: Sep 14, 2026, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $502.8K
Outcome Yes: 1.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 98.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. 

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Saved cross-platform review:
polymarket-1193093 / kalshi-KXSWEDENPM-26SEP13-UKRI: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Ulf Kristersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?"; listed deadline 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"; listed deadline 2026-09-14T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 15, 2026, 1:19 PM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 4 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Next Prime Minister of Sweden". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-09-14T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1193094 / kalshi-KXSWEDENPM-26SEP13-MAND: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Magdalena Andersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?"; listed deadline 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"; listed deadline 2026-09-14T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 15, 2026, 1:19 PM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 4 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Next Prime Minister of Sweden". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-09-14T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1193095 / kalshi-KXSWEDENPM-26SEP13-JAKE: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Jimmie Åkesson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?"; listed deadline 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"; listed deadline 2026-09-14T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 15, 2026, 1:19 PM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 4 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Next Prime Minister of Sweden". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-09-14T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.
polymarket-1193096 / kalshi-KXSWEDENPM-26SEP13-EBUS: Related contracts. The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Ebba Busch become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?"; listed deadline 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"; listed deadline 2026-09-14T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Price difference withheld: equivalence is not currently established.
Review date: Oct 15, 2026, 1:19 PM UTC
Review caveat: This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.
Review caveat: Automated review classifications: 0 equivalent, 4 related, 0 incompatible market pairs. A subset of paired outcomes does not establish equivalence of the whole event. Kalshi event: "Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z. Polymarket event: "Next Prime Minister of Sweden". Listed deadlines for assessed markets (UTC): 2026-09-14T03:59:00.000Z. Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution rules.
Review caveat: The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIElections

Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?

Before Jan 1, 2028 If X becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office, not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government. If no government forms by Jan 1, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes. This market will close and expire early if a person is formally appointed and invested as Prime Minister.

Volume$141.40K

Markets4

POLYMARKETWorld

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Volume$10.15M

Markets10

10 of 10

Sort:

Will Magdalena Andersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?

Related contracts

The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Magdalena Andersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?"; listed deadline 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"; listed deadline 2026-09-14T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Reviewed: Thu, 15 Oct 2026 13:19:47 GMT

Review notes

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

kalshi

Will Magdalena Andersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?

Yes: 79.5¢
No: 20.5¢

polymarket

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes: 78.5¢
No: 21.5¢

Will Ulf Kristersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?

Related contracts

The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Ulf Kristersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?"; listed deadline 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"; listed deadline 2026-09-14T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Reviewed: Thu, 15 Oct 2026 13:19:47 GMT

Review notes

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

kalshi

Will Ulf Kristersson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?

Yes: 15.5¢
No: 84.5¢

polymarket

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes: 17.8¢
No: 82.2¢

Will Ebba Busch become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?

Related contracts

The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Ebba Busch become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?"; listed deadline 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"; listed deadline 2026-09-14T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Reviewed: Thu, 15 Oct 2026 13:19:47 GMT

Review notes

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

kalshi

Will Ebba Busch become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?

Yes: 3.0¢
No: 97.0¢

polymarket

Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes: 2.9¢
No: 97.2¢

Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

polymarket

Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes: 1.1¢
No: 98.9¢

Will Jimmie Åkesson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?

Related contracts

The automated review classified this pair as related and did not establish contract equivalence. Kalshi: "Will Jimmie Åkesson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?"; listed deadline 2028-01-01T15:00:00.000Z (UTC). Polymarket: "Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?"; listed deadline 2026-09-14T03:59:00.000Z (UTC). Automated review flags: differing rules reported; differing resolution sources reported.

Reviewed: Thu, 15 Oct 2026 13:19:47 GMT

Review notes

This is an automated contract review, not a guarantee of identical settlement or executable prices. Read both providers' full rules before relying on a comparison.

The saved review identifies different resolution rules.

The saved review identifies different resolution sources.

kalshi

Will Jimmie Åkesson become Prime Minister of Sweden following the 2026 Swedish general election?

Yes: 1.0¢
No: 99.0¢

polymarket

Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?

Yes: 0.7¢
No: 99.3¢

No related news found

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Next Market Deadline

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Jan 01, 2028, 3:00 PM UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

Reviewed equivalent pairs

No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/OI-j7K" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Next Prime Minister of Sweden"></iframe>

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