What will Smithfield Foods say during their next earnings call?
K 1 contracts
1
13
What will Smithfield Foods say during their next earnings call?
K 1 contracts
1
13
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Export at 84%.
Kalshi
- Export84%
- Inflation83%
- Holiday81.5%
- Sioux Falls80.5%
- Nathan’s Famous80.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 1 contracts
Reported volume · provider units
13
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC
About This Event
On Mar 23, 2027 If X is said by any Smithfield Foods, Inc. representative, including the operator of the call, during the next Smithfield Foods, Inc. earnings call, including the Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes. Video of the Smithfield Foods, Inc. earnings call will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external, official, transcripts of the Smithfield Foods, Inc. earnings call will be used. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Please see full rules for more details. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
These markets belong to one Kalshi event asking what Smithfield Foods will say during its next earnings call. Each market asks whether a specific word or phrase is said. Under the event rules, a market resolves to Yes if "X is said by any Smithfield Foods, Inc. representative, including the operator of the call, during the next Smithfield Foods, Inc. earnings call, including the Q+A" [1]. The source states that "The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used," and that "Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included" [1]. Wording therefore matters: a market for a phrase such as "Sioux Falls" or "Nathan's Famous" depends on the exact term appearing, not on the topic being discussed.
Resolution relies mainly on video of the call. The source says that if "a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external, official, transcripts" will be used [1]. The event is labeled "On Oct 27, 2026" [1], but that label is a contract date, not confirmation of a call schedule. The listed market end time is November 10, 2026, 15:00 UTC for every market in this sample [1]. The source also says the market "will close and expire early if the event occurs" [1], so the listed end time is not the only possible closing point. The event's listed end time is not supplied [1].
Reading the snapshot
The data was observed at 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z and retrieved at 2026-10-22T01:26:07.626Z [1]. These are quoted prices from a single moment, not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
Within this sample, the highest quoted Yes prices are Inflation at 0.92, Holiday at 0.915, and Automation at 0.875. The lowest included Yes prices are Tailwind at 0.40, Tariff at 0.375, and China at 0.27 [1]. Each market has its own wording, so these prices compare separate phrases, not a single outcome.
The sample is partial. Kalshi lists 13 markets for this event, and 12 are included [1]. The included markets were selected by highest finite Yes price, so the omitted market is not represented here. Do not infer its price or rank from this sample.
What remains uncertain
The supplied evidence does not explain why any price is where it is. It also does not report trader counts, liquidity, or recent news about Smithfield Foods. Volume is not included in this analysis. Different markets with different prices are not an arbitrage signal, since wording and closing rules differ. This sample also cannot show how the prices will change before the call or how accurately similar markets have forecast outcomes.
References
- Kalshi: What will Smithfield Foods say during their next earnings call?. Provider data observed 2026-10-22T00:00:05.980Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 22, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This contract asks whether a specific word or phrase will be said during the next earnings call of Smithfield Foods, Inc. The contract names October 27, 2026 as the call date [1]. It resolves to Yes if the chosen word is said by any Smithfield Foods representative, including the operator of the call, at any point during the call, including the question-and-answer session [1]. The rules specify that the exact phrase or word must be used. A plural or possessive form of that word also counts, but other grammatical or tense inflections do not [1]. Because the contract is a mention market, the question is narrow: it depends on the wording used on the call, not on the broader subject matter being discussed. The contract names video of the call as the primary resolution source. If Kalshi employees cannot reach a consensus using video, official transcripts of the call are used instead [1]. The rules also state that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1]. The provider lists the market as active, but no listed end time was supplied in the provider data [1]. The market data shows a set of related contracts tied to the same earnings call, each asking about a different word or phrase. Examples in the sample include Inflation, Holiday, Automation, Export, Tariff, Tailwind, Headwind, and China [1]. Each contract is priced separately, so the prices describe different questions and should not be compared as if they were one ranked field.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether a named term is spoken during a single scheduled event, the Smithfield Foods earnings call on October 27, 2026 [1]. Its value depends entirely on the words used during that call and the resolution sources the rules specify, which are video first and transcripts if needed [1]. The prices in the market data are snapshots of the Yes and No sides at the time of observation. For example, the Inflation contract showed a Yes price of 0.92 and the China contract showed 0.27 [1]. These figures reflect the price at that moment on the platform. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities that a word will be spoken. The sample also covers only 12 of 13 markets for this event, so a contract that is not included should not be assumed to have a lower price [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-22 at 00:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What event does this contract depend on?
It depends on the next Smithfield Foods, Inc. earnings call, which the contract dates to October 27, 2026 [1].
Does a plural or possessive form of the word count?
Yes. The rules say that a plural or possessive form of the exact phrase or word counts, but other grammatical or tense inflections are not included [1].
Who can say the word for it to resolve Yes?
Any Smithfield Foods, Inc. representative, including the operator of the call, can say it, and the Q and A session is included [1].
How is the outcome determined?
Video of the call is the primary source. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, official transcripts of the call are used [1].
Can the market end before the call's listed date?
Yes. The rules state that the market will close and expire early if the event occurs [1].
Does a price shown here mean the chance the word will be said?
No. The prices are snapshots from the market data at one observation time. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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