Snapshot observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The supplied Polymarket event asks how many receiving yards Juwan Johnson records in the 2026-27 NFL regular season. Each contract is a yards threshold. The first contract, for example, resolves "Yes" if the total "equals or exceeds the listed number" [1]. The five thresholds in this snapshot are 174.5, 374.5, 574.5, 774.5, and 974.5 yards [1].

The rules include several fallback conditions. If Johnson does not play in the season "for any reason, this market will resolve to 'No'" [1]. If the season is shortened or ends early, the outcome is determined "using available official data for completed games" [1]. If the season is cancelled, or postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to "50-50" [1]. The listed end time is 2027-01-27T04:59:00.000Z, and the resolution source is official NFL information, though "a consensus of credible reporting may also be used" [1].

Reading the snapshot

The provider observed these prices at 2026-10-16T03:00:06Z, and the record was retrieved at 03:33:15Z [1]. These are point-in-time snapshots, not current or executable quotes. The Yes prices were 0.992, 0.949, 0.685, 0.615, and 0.145 for the 174.5, 374.5, 774.5, 574.5, and 974.5 thresholds, respectively [1].

Each threshold is a separate contract with its own price, so the prices should not be read as a single distribution. The listing order is not numerical: the 774.5 contract (0.685) is priced above the 574.5 contract (0.615). The evidence does not explain this, and it should not be treated as an error or an arbitrage opportunity without executable quotes and full contract terms. Volume and trader counts are not included in this record, so the snapshot says nothing about liquidity or breadth of participation.

What remains uncertain

The sample covers all five saved markets for this event, and the record marks it as not partial [1]. However, the provider notes that this "does not establish that the providers list every possible real-world outcome" [1]. Thresholds not listed here cannot be inferred from these prices.

The record also contains no information about Johnson's roster status, injuries, or any recent reporting. Its price snapshot cannot be used to assess whether any price is accurate. Outcomes depend on events after the listed end time, and the 50-50 and "No" conditions could affect how a reader interprets any contract.

References

1. Polymarket: Pro Football: Juwan Johnson 2026-27 Regular Season Receiving Yards. Provider data observed 2026-10-16T03:00:06.094Z.