ZCash Up or Down - October 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 24, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-24T12:00:05.917Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET" [1]. The source states that the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1].
The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream named in the rules, and the rules say the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader should therefore not compare this contract with spot prices from other venues as if they settled the same question.
The listed end time is 2026-10-25T06:05:00.000Z [1]. The title's window is written in Eastern Time, so readers should check that the UTC listed end time matches the window they have in mind.
Reading the snapshot
The saved prices are Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. The provider observation time is 2026-10-24T12:00:05.917Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-24T13:18:03.264Z [1]. The market was recorded as active at observation [1]. That status describes the saved snapshot and may not match the market's status today, so it should not be read as a live state.
These prices are snapshots, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence does not include volume, order book depth, or trader counts, so it says nothing about how liquid the contract is or how many participants hold each side.
The sample covers one saved market for one provider event, with no omitted markets [1]. Both outcomes in this binary contract are shown, so nothing has been left out of the field. There is no other platform in the evidence, so no cross-platform comparison is possible here.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the ZEC/USD price at the start of the window, the TWAP during the window, or the final result. The contract has not resolved according to the supplied material.
The evidence also does not explain why the prices sit at 0.5. It contains no news, no commentary on the asset, and no historical record of how similar short-window contracts have settled, so no conclusion about likely direction should be drawn from this snapshot.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-24T12:00:05.917Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 24, 2026 UTCOverview
This contract is a short-term price market on ZCash (ZEC) against the US dollar, titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET" and categorized as Crypto [1]. It asks whether the price of ZCash over a five-minute window will finish at or above where it started. The market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over that window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the window, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The resolution source is named in the contract rules. It is Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink stream and not any other source or spot market [1]. This means the outcome is determined by that specific data feed, so a different exchange quote or price aggregator could show a different movement during the same minutes without changing the result. The listed end time is 2026-10-25T06:05:00.000Z, and the provider status at retrieval was active [1]. The contract's rules define the measurement window, but the date in the title and end time are scheduled parameters of the contract and do not describe any announced event. The recorded outcome prices are Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5, observed at 2026-10-24T12:00:05.917Z [1]. These values are a snapshot from that observation time. They reflect the prices recorded at that moment and are not a live quote or a verified forecast of the result.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether ZCash's Chainlink-reported TWAP over a specific five-minute window is at or above the starting price for that window [1]. Its usefulness as a reference depends on the stated rules: the outcome follows one named data stream, the ZEC/USD TWAP feed, and not broader market activity [1]. Anyone reading the contract should check the window in the title and the resolution source named in the rules, since those determine what counts as "Up" or "Down" [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-24 at 12:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The market resolves Up if the TWAP of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and Down otherwise [1].
Which price data does the contract use?
The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream. The rules say the market is about the price in that stream and not any other sources or spot markets [1].
When does the contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-25T06:05:00.000Z [1]. The title gives the window as 2:00AM to 2:05AM ET on October 25.
Do the recorded prices show the chance that ZCash goes up?
The recorded prices are Up 0.5 and Down 0.5 at an observation time of 2026-10-24T12:00:05.917Z [1]. They are a snapshot from that time and should not be read as a verified probability or an executable quote.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.