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Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs

Name: Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs
End: 2026-05-02T14:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$5.05

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs

Vol

$5.05

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $5.05

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $5.05

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	54%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs	Poly	53%
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	52%
Game 1: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	51%
Game 2: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	51%
Game 3: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	51%
Game 3: Ends in Daytime?	Poly	51%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	51%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner	Poly	50%
Games Total: Over/Under 2.5	Poly	50%
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)	Poly	50%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner	Poly	48%
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	28%
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	25%
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?	Poly	25%
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	22%
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?	Poly	22%
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Poly	12%
Game 2: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	9%
Game 1: Any Player Rampage?	Poly	9%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

54%

Top Probability

$5.05

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket final match between Xtreme Gaming and Team Resilience in the ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 2 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win the match against Team Resilience. This market will resolve to "Team Resilience" if Team Resilience win the match against Xtreme Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the schedule

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 2, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket final match between Xtreme Gaming and Team Resilience in the ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 2 at 4:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win the match against Team Resilience.

This market will resolve to "Team Resilience" if Team Resilience win the match against Xtreme Gaming.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the schedule

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 2. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items.

This market will resolve to "Yes"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $5
* **Total Liquidity:** $5.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Game 1: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 22.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Game 2: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Xtreme Gaming: 53.0% (0.0%)] | [Team Resilience: 47.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 1 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Xtreme Gaming: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Team Resilience: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winner
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Xtreme Gaming: 48.0% (0.0%)] | [Team Resilience: 52.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Games Total: Over/Under 2.5
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Over: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Under: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs Team Resilience (+1.5)
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Xtreme Gaming: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [Team Resilience: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 28.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 72.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Game 1: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Game 2: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 16. Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 53.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 46.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Game 3: Any Player Rampage?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Game 3: Ends in Daytime?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

### 19. Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 2, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs

Volume$5.05

Markets20

20 of 20

Sort:

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 53.5¢No 46.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

This market is about whether any player achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 3. In Dota 2, an Ultra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves an Ultra Kill during Game 3. This market

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.5¢No 48.5¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 3. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items. This market will resolve to "Yes

POLYMARKET

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

This market is about whether Game 1 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). T

POLYMARKET

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

This market is about whether Game 2 ends during the daytime phase of the Dota 2 day/night cycle. In Dota 2, the day/night cycle alternates every 5 minutes (daytime runs from 0:00–5:00, 10:00–15:00, 20:00–25:00, and so on, while nighttime runs from 5:00–10:00, 15:00–20:00, 25:00–30:00, and so on). T

POLYMARKET

Game 3: Any Player Rampage?

POLYMARKET

PMPolymarket

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

POLYMARKETSports

Game 3: Any Player Rampage?

This market is about whether any player achieves a Rampage during Game 3. In Dota 2, a Rampage occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Rampage during Game 3. This market will re

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Average Yes Price

38¢

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Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs

Markets (20)

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Any Player Rampage?

Game 3: Any Player Rampage?

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill?

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 1: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 2: Ends in Daytime?

Game 3: Any Player Rampage?

Game 3: Any Player Rampage?

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